Based on 4 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
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Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their ONFO positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 50% of 3.0Y high
50% of all-time peak
Only 4 funds hold ONFO today versus a peak of 8 funds at 2025 Q4 — just 50% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
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Outflows — 20% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
1 fewer hedge funds hold ONFO compared to a year ago (-20% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 22% buying
2 buying7 selling
Last quarter: 7 funds sold vs only 2 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~1 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 2 → 2 → 3 → 1. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
75% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 75% conviction (2yr+)
■ 0% medium
■ 25% new
3 out of 4 hedge funds have held ONFO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~1 new funds/quarter
1 → 2 → 2 → 3 → 1 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 2 → 2 → 3 → 1. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️
Veteran-anchored — 75% veterans vs 25% newcomers
■ 75% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 25% new
Entry-cohort mix of 4 holders: 3 (75%) are 2+ year veterans, 0 entered 1–2 years ago, and 1 (25%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆
Elite ownership — 97% AUM from top-100 funds
97% from top-100 AUM funds
3 of 4 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 97% of total institutional value in ONFO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 2.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.