Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
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Old Dominion Freight Line In (ODFL)

953 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ODFL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +46
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
55%

Smart Money Signals — ODFL

Based on 960 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ODFL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
960 hedge funds hold ODFL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +13% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+112 new funds entered over the past year (+13% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 55% buying

533 buying431 selling
Last quarter: 533 funds bought or added vs 431 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-18 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 134 → 99 → 184 → 166. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years

62% conviction (2yr+) 18% medium 21% new
593 out of 960 hedge funds have held ODFL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+15% value, -4% shares)

Value
+14%
Shares
-4%
Last quarter: total value of institutional ODFL holdings rose +15% even though funds reduced share count by 4%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

80 → 134 → 99 → 184 → 166 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 134 → 99 → 184 → 166. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 66% of holders stayed 2+ years

66% veterans 11% 1-2yr 23% new
Of 975 current holders: 644 (66%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds

46% from top-100 AUM funds
63 of 960 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in ODFL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — ODFL

In 2026 Q1, 533 hedge funds were net buyers of ODFL (166 opened a new position, 367 added to an existing one), while 431 reduced or exited (311 trimmed, 120 sold completely) — a 55% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 46% of total institutional value in ODFL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +46 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 960.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ODFL

How many hedge funds hold ODFL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ODFL vs. share price

Market Analysis: ODFL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ODFL

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Old Dominion Freight Line In (ODFL) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much ODFL has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLI) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 74d ago
ODFL
+26.8%
XLI
-76.3%

ODFL outperformed XLI by +103.1% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 29d ago
ODFL
+22.1%
XLI
-6.5%

Since the filing became public, ODFL outperformed XLI by +28.6% .

Interpretation: The stock has significantly outperformed its sector benchmark — the original entry opportunity has largely been captured by earlier investors. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

53 top-rated funds 5 high-conviction
Consensus
7.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: ODFL
953 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ODFL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 953 914 4.27%
13F Shares 160M 168M -4.43%
Total Value $27.53B $24.03B 14.55%
New Positions 162 184 -22
Increased Positions 360 325 +35
Closed Positions 123 107 +16
Reduced Positions 307 312 -5
Total Calls 11 15 -26.67%
Total Puts 9 13 -30.77%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.82 0.87 Neutral

Statistics: ODFL

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

953 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in ODFL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 ODFL holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Canal Capital Management, LLC 9.90% 374,203 $73.1M
2 Quantum Capital Management, LLC / NJ 9.40% 375,972 $73.5M
3 Garrison Bradford & Associates Inc 5.66% 25,610 $5.0M
4 4D Advisors, LLC 4.95% 40,000 $7.8M
5 ST. Nicholas Private Asset Management, Inc 4.72% 25,830 $5.0M
6 Wedgewood Partners Inc 4.60% 113,941 $22.3M
7 Harber Asset Management LLC 3.45% 27,646 $5.4M
8 Karani Asset Management LLC 3.10% 19,361 $3.8M
9 Partners Group Holding AG 2.66% 184,042 $36.0M
10 Avity Investment Management INC. 2.63% 184,900 $36.1M
11 Davidson Kahn Capital Management, LLC 1.99% 19,063 $3.7M
12 Sirios Capital Management L P 1.93% 81,609 $15.9M
13 Eventide Asset Management, LLC 1.91% 591,691 $115.5M
14 Summitry LLC 1.91% 223,576 $43.7M
15 Westco Advisory Services Inc /Adv 1.89% 15,053 $2.9M
16 Encompass Capital Advisors LLC 1.81% 310,061 $60.6M
17 Weitz Investment Management, INC. 1.80% 132,000 $25.8M
18 Bridges Investment Management Inc 1.70% 642,375 $125.5M
19 Intrinsic Edge Capital Management LLC 1.62% 50,112 $9.8M
20 Fisher Funds Management LTD 1.57% 274,549 $53.6M
21 Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. 1.54% 49,140 $9.6M
22 Miller Capital Partners, Inc. 1.48% 15,803 $3.1M
23 Peregrine Asset Advisers, Inc. 1.40% 26,546 $5.2M
24 Life Cycle Investment Partners Ltd 1.37% 1,103,161 $215.6M
25 Bensler, LLC 1.24% 61,481 $12.0M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Old Dominion Freight Line In (ODFL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for ODFL?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ODFL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for ODFL?

Slight buying edge — 55% buying: Last quarter: 533 funds bought or added vs 431 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for ODFL holders?

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds: 63 of 960 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in ODFL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held ODFL?

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 593 out of 960 hedge funds have held ODFL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Old Dominion Freight Line In (ODFL) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, ODFL has moved +22.1% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -6.5% for the XLI sector ETF — an outperformance of +28.6%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), ODFL has gained +26.8% vs -76.3% for XLI. The stock has significantly outperformed its sector benchmark — the original entry opportunity has largely been captured by earlier investors.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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