Stock Analysis

OCULAR THERAPEUTIX INC (OCUL)

229 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in OCUL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +36
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
66%

Smart Money Signals — OCUL

Based on 239 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added this stock than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term trade.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
239 hedge funds hold this stock right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a 'crowded trade' — high ownership doesn't mean safe.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +39% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+67 new funds entered over the past year (+39% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 66% buying

162 buying83 selling
Last quarter: 162 funds were net buyers (59 opened a brand new position + 103 added to an existing one). Only 83 were sellers (60 trimmed + 23 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+11 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 34 → 22 → 48 → 59. A growing number of new institutional buyers means the stock is still being discovered — the opportunity hasn't been fully priced in.
🔒

46% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 46% conviction (2yr+) ■ 29% medium ■ 25% new
111 out of 239 hedge funds have held this stock for over 2 years without selling. Long-term holders are harder to shake out during market dips — they represent a stable ownership base that reduces the risk of sudden mass selling.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

29 → 34 → 22 → 48 → 59 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 34 → 22 → 48 → 59. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 58% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 58% veterans ■ 15% 1-2yr ■ 27% new
Of 252 current holders: 145 (58%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅

Strong quality — 37% AUM from major funds

37% from top-100 AUM funds
31 of 239 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 37% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: OCUL

How many hedge funds hold OCUL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of OCUL vs. share price

Market Analysis: OCUL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: OCUL

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Hedge Fund Positioning: OCUL
229 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in OCUL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 229 198 15.66%
13F Shares 185M 183M 1.48%
Total Value $2.25B $2.13B 5.37%
New Positions 51 50 +1
Increased Positions 111 78 +33
Closed Positions 22 20 +2
Reduced Positions 72 58 +14
Total Calls 8 7 14.29%
Total Puts 9 6 50.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.12 0.86 Neutral

Statistics: OCUL

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Institutional Holders (2025 Q4)
229 + investors

Track Smart Money conviction in OCUL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed