Based on 20 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their OCTZ positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 69% of 3.0Y high
69% of all-time peak
Only 20 funds hold OCTZ today versus a peak of 29 funds at 2026 Q1 — just 69% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
📉
Outflows — 13% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
3 fewer hedge funds hold OCTZ compared to a year ago (-13% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 31% buying
10 buying22 selling
Last quarter: 22 funds sold vs only 10 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~8 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 4 → 12 → 12 → 8. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 45% entered in last year
■ 20% conviction (2yr+)
■ 35% medium
■ 45% new
Only 4 funds (20%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~8 new funds/quarter
2 → 4 → 12 → 12 → 8 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 4 → 12 → 12 → 8. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
📊
Mixed cohorts — 25% veterans, 45% new entrants
■ 25% veterans
■ 30% 1-2yr
■ 45% new
Of 20 current holders: 5 (25%) held 2+ years, 6 held 1–2 years, 9 (45%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 0% AUM from top-100
0% from top-100 AUM funds
1 of 20 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 0% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.4
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.4/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.