Based on 81 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their OCTW positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊
High ownership — 84% of 3.0Y peak
84% of all-time peak
81 funds currently hold this stock — 84% of the 3.0-year high of 97 funds (reached 2026 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
〰️
Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year
fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding OCTW is almost the same as a year ago (-2 funds, -2% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 31% buying
28 buying63 selling
Last quarter: 63 funds sold vs only 28 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~13 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 5 → 45 → 13 → 13. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
📌
Mixed — 36% long-term, 40% new
■ 36% conviction (2yr+)
■ 25% medium
■ 40% new
Of the 81 current holders: 29 (36%) held >2 years, 20 held 1–2 years, and 32 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
6 → 5 → 45 → 13 → 13 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 5 → 45 → 13 → 13. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🏛️
Veteran-anchored — 42% veterans vs 40% newcomers
■ 42% veterans
■ 19% 1-2yr
■ 40% new
Entry-cohort mix of 81 holders: 34 (42%) are 2+ year veterans, 15 entered 1–2 years ago, and 32 (40%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅
Strong quality — 36% AUM from major funds
36% from top-100 AUM funds
5 of 80 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 36% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.4
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.4/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.