Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Innovator Etfs Trust (OCTH)

20 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in OCTH. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -7
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
43%

Smart Money Signals — OCTH

Based on 20 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their OCTH positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 74% of 2.5Y peak

74% of all-time peak
20 funds currently hold this stock — 74% of the 2.5-year high of 27 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding OCTH is almost the same as a year ago (+0 funds, +0% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 43% buying

10 buying13 selling
Last quarter: 13 funds reduced or exited vs 10 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-12 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 3 → 0 → 12 → 0. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

40% of holders stayed for 2+ years

40% conviction (2yr+) 40% medium 20% new
8 out of 20 hedge funds have held OCTH for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~0 new funds/quarter

4 → 3 → 0 → 12 → 0 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 3 → 0 → 12 → 0. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 40% veterans vs 25% newcomers

40% veterans 35% 1-2yr 25% new
Entry-cohort mix of 20 holders: 8 (40%) are 2+ year veterans, 7 entered 1–2 years ago, and 5 (25%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 8% AUM from top-100

8% from top-100 AUM funds
2 of 20 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 8% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
3.1
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.1/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — OCTH

In 2026 Q1, 10 hedge funds were net buyers of OCTH (10 added to existing positions), while 13 reduced or exited (6 trimmed, 7 sold completely) — a 43% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net fund flow last quarter: -7 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 20.

Hedge Fund Ownership: OCTH

How many hedge funds hold OCTH — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of OCTH vs. share price

Market Analysis: OCTH

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: OCTH

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Innovator Etfs Trust (OCTH) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much OCTH has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 90d ago
OCTH
+3.7%
SPY
+12.4%

OCTH outperformed SPY by -8.7% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 45d ago
OCTH
+0.7%
SPY
-1.1%

Since the filing became public, OCTH outperformed SPY by +1.8% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

1 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
1.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: OCTH
20 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in OCTH. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 20 27 -25.93%
13F Shares 455K 545K -16.61%
Total Value $11M $13M -18.04%
New Positions 0 12 -12
Increased Positions 10 6 +4
Closed Positions 7 1 +6
Reduced Positions 6 4 +2
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: OCTH

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

20 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in OCTH. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 21 OCTH holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Whipplewood Advisors, LLC 0.39% 32,034 $752K
2 Outlook Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.25% 44,787 $1.1M
3 Mtm Financial Group, LLC 0.24% 21,667 $509K
4 Valtinson Bruner Financial Planning LLC 0.11% 16,767 $394K
5 Harbour Investments, INC. 0.05% 142,794 $3.4M
6 Trek Financial, LLC 0.05% 38,574 $906K
7 Wealthspire Retirement, LLC 0.02% 15,440 $363K
8 Sunbelt Securities, Inc. 0.01% 9,145 $215K
9 Brookstone Capital Management 0.01% 46,561 $1.1M
10 Old Mission Capital LLC 0.01% 30,148 $708K
11 Harbor Investment Advisory, LLC 0.01% 4,210 $99K
12 Foundations Investment Advisors, LLC 0.00% 11,054 $260K
13 Pinnacle Wealth Planning Services, Inc. 0.00% 514 $12K
14 Creative Financial Designs Inc /Adv 0.00% 800 $19K
15 Allworth Financial LP 0.00% 10,992 $258K
16 Steward Partners Investment Advisory, LLC 0.00% 4,320 $101K
17 CoreCap Advisors, LLC 0.00% 518 $12K
18 Commonwealth Equity Services, LLC 0.00% 10,948 $257K
19 Susquehanna International Group, LLP 0.00% 34,771 $816K
20 Osaic Holdings, INC. 0.00% 122 $3K
21 UBS Group AG 0.00% 270 $6K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Innovator Etfs Trust (OCTH)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for OCTH?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their OCTH positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for OCTH?

More sellers than buyers — 43% buying: Last quarter: 13 funds reduced or exited vs 10 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for OCTH holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 8% AUM from top-100: 2 of 20 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 8% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held OCTH?

40% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 8 out of 20 hedge funds have held OCTH for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Innovator Etfs Trust (OCTH) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, OCTH has moved +0.7% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -1.1% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of +1.8%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), OCTH has gained +3.7% vs +12.4% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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