Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Nexstar Media Group Inc (NXST)

485 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in NXST. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Fetching live quote...
Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -18
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
45%

Smart Money Signals — NXST

Based on 489 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NXST positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (96% of max)

96% of all-time peak
489 hedge funds hold NXST right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +7% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+31 new funds entered over the past year (+7% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 45% buying

221 buying267 selling
Last quarter: 267 funds reduced or exited vs 221 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-15 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 84 → 66 → 77 → 62. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

64% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 64% conviction (2yr+) ■ 20% medium ■ 16% new
313 out of 489 hedge funds have held NXST for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +25%, value +5%

Value
+5%
Shares
+24%
Last quarter: funds added +25% more shares while total portfolio value only changed +5%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~62 new funds/quarter

60 → 84 → 66 → 77 → 62 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 84 → 66 → 77 → 62. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 70% veterans vs 20% newcomers

■ 70% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 20% new
Entry-cohort mix of 498 holders: 348 (70%) are 2+ year veterans, 52 entered 1–2 years ago, and 98 (20%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 59% AUM from top-100 funds

59% from top-100 AUM funds
59 of 488 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 59% of total institutional value in NXST. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — NXST

In 2026 Q2, 221 hedge funds were net buyers of NXST (62 opened a new position, 159 added to an existing one), while 267 reduced or exited (187 trimmed, 80 sold completely) — a 45% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 59% of total institutional value in NXST is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -18 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 489.

Hedge Fund Ownership: NXST

How many hedge funds hold NXST — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of NXST vs. share price

Market Analysis: NXST

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: NXST

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

18 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
5.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.5
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: NXST
2026 Q3 Stats Unlock in 47 days 485 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in NXST. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 485 507 -4.34%
13F Shares 31M 29M 4.55%
Total Value $5.18B $4.95B 4.65%
New Positions 61 77 -16
Increased Positions 154 155 -1
Closed Positions 82 63 +19
Reduced Positions 186 189 -3
Total Calls 5 7 -28.57%
Total Puts 5 5 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 0.71 Neutral

Statistics: NXST

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

485 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in NXST. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 NXST holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 American Financial Group Inc 14.33% 227,482 $40.6M
2 Capital Management Corp /Va 4.00% 149,348 $26.7M
3 Fairbanks Capital Management, Inc. 3.83% 36,264 $6.5M
4 Engine Capital Management, LP 3.46% 199,247 $35.6M
5 Bruni J V & Co /Co 2.83% 173,364 $31.0M
6 Guild Investment Management, Inc. 2.37% 19,432 $3.5M
7 Momentum Wealth Planning, LLC 2.11% 16,179 $2.9M
8 Channing Capital Management, LLC 2.11% 512,043 $91.4M
9 QVT Financial LP 2.09% 198,891 $35.5M
10 Dorsal Capital Management, LP 1.58% 250,000 $44.6M
11 Crawford Fund Management, LLC 1.49% 54,543 $9.7M
12 Weaver C. Barksdale & Associates, Inc. 1.44% 8,990 $1.6M
13 Valley Wealth Managers, INC. 1.44% 139,399 $24.9M
14 Glassy Mountain Advisors, Inc. 1.04% 21,225 $3.8M
15 Penn Capital Management Company, LLC 1.01% 88,677 $15.9M
16 Hennessy Advisors Inc 0.99% 173,500 $31.0M
17 Tabor Asset Management, LP 0.84% 15,343 $2.7M
18 Kendall Capital Management 0.77% 25,934 $4.6M
19 III Capital Management 0.70% 15,500 $2.8M
20 Hudson Portfolio Management LLC 0.68% 5,032 $899K
21 CPC Advisors, LLC 0.66% 27,468 $4.9M
22 Phocas Financial Corp. 0.66% 26,658 $4.8M
23 Mork Capital Management, LLC 0.61% 5,360 $957K
24 Prospect Capital Advisors, LLC 0.61% 7,500 $1.3M
25 Odyssean, LLC 0.49% 17,036 $3.0M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Nexstar Media Group Inc (NXST)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for NXST?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NXST positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for NXST?

More sellers than buyers — 45% buying: Last quarter: 267 funds reduced or exited vs 221 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for NXST holders?

Elite ownership — 59% AUM from top-100 funds: 59 of 488 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 59% of total institutional value in NXST. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held NXST?

64% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 313 out of 489 hedge funds have held NXST for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →