Based on 30 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NVFY than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
30 hedge funds hold NVFY right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +275% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+22 new funds entered over the past year (+275% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 85% buying
29 buying5 selling
Last quarter: 29 funds were net buyers (19 opened a brand new position + 10 added to an existing one). Only 5 were sellers (1 trimmed + 4 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
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More new buyers each quarter (+10 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new NVFY position: 1 → 3 → 9 → 19. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
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Mostly new holders — 77% entered in last year
■ 10% conviction (2yr+)
■ 13% medium
■ 77% new
Only 3 funds (10%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💰
Value +470% but shares only +423% — price-driven
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +470%, but actual share count only changed +423%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
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Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in
4 → 1 → 3 → 9 → 19 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 1 → 3 → 9 → 19. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
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Early stage — 73% of holders entered in last year
■ 17% veterans
■ 10% 1-2yr
■ 73% new
Of 30 current holders: 22 (73%) entered in the past year, only 5 (17%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
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Elite ownership — 58% AUM from top-100 funds
58% from top-100 AUM funds
10 of 30 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 58% of total institutional value in NVFY. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
6.9
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 6.9/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.