Based on 86 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NVDL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (96% of max)
96% of all-time peak
86 hedge funds hold NVDL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +23% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+16 new funds entered over the past year (+23% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 47% buying
47 buying54 selling
Last quarter: 54 funds reduced or exited vs 47 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-7 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 22 → 32 → 28 → 21. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 40% entered in last year
■ 12% conviction (2yr+)
■ 49% medium
■ 40% new
Only 10 funds (12%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~21 new funds/quarter
15 → 22 → 32 → 28 → 21 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 22 → 32 → 28 → 21. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
📊
Mixed cohorts — 16% veterans, 42% new entrants
■ 16% veterans
■ 42% 1-2yr
■ 42% new
Of 95 current holders: 15 (16%) held 2+ years, 40 held 1–2 years, 40 (42%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 7% AUM from top-100
7% from top-100 AUM funds
6 of 86 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 7% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.3
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.3/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.