Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Nuvalent Inc (NUVL)

283 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in NUVL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +32
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
59%

Smart Money Signals — NUVL

Based on 294 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NUVL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
294 hedge funds hold NUVL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +41% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+86 new funds entered over the past year (+41% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 59% buying

203 buying143 selling
Last quarter: 203 funds bought or added vs 143 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+52 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new NUVL position: 25 → 61 → 56 → 108. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
📌

Mixed — 34% long-term, 44% new

■ 34% conviction (2yr+) ■ 22% medium ■ 44% new
Of the 294 current holders: 99 (34%) held >2 years, 66 held 1–2 years, and 129 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

29 → 25 → 61 → 56 → 108 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 25 → 61 → 56 → 108. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 41% veterans vs 43% newcomers

■ 41% veterans ■ 16% 1-2yr ■ 43% new
Entry-cohort mix of 309 holders: 127 (41%) are 2+ year veterans, 48 entered 1–2 years ago, and 134 (43%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 32% AUM from major funds

32% from top-100 AUM funds
51 of 289 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 32% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.7
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.7/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — NUVL

In 2026 Q2, 203 hedge funds were net buyers of NUVL (108 opened a new position, 95 added to an existing one), while 143 reduced or exited (67 trimmed, 76 sold completely) — a 59% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 3 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 32% of total institutional value in NUVL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +32 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 294.

Hedge Fund Ownership: NUVL

How many hedge funds hold NUVL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of NUVL vs. share price

Market Analysis: NUVL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: NUVL

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

16 top-rated funds 6 high-conviction
Consensus
5.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: NUVL
283 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in NUVL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 283 262 8.02%
13F Shares 73M 78M -6.39%
Total Value $8.78B $7.63B 15.04%
New Positions 104 56 +48
Increased Positions 92 109 -17
Closed Positions 78 31 +47
Reduced Positions 66 67 -1
Total Calls 15 3 400.0%
Total Puts 5 3 66.67%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.33 1.0 Bullish

Statistics: NUVL

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

283 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in NUVL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 NUVL holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Deerfield Management Company, L.P. 22.22% 17,248,450 $2.13B
2 Paradigm Biocapital Advisors LP 13.70% 5,924,433 $731.7M
3 Chicago Capital Management, LLC 9.84% 115,500 $11.1M
4 Versor Investments LP 6.72% 25,850 $3.2M
5 Slotnik Capital, LLC 6.70% 210,000 $25.9M
6 Transmarket Holdings LP 6.32% 69,760 $8.6M
7 First Trust Capital Management L.P. 6.02% 836,918 $103.4M
8 Nexpoint Asset Management, L.P. 5.10% 617,820 $76.3M
9 Absolute Gestao de Investimentos Ltda. 4.35% 350,000 $43.2M
10 Harvest Management LLC 3.40% 70,000 $8.6M
11 Deep Track Capital, LP 3.21% 1,783,322 $220.2M
12 Perceptive Advisors LLC 2.93% 1,580,505 $195.2M
13 Bellevue Group AG 2.74% 1,053,268 $130.1M
14 Gardner Lewis Asset Management L P 2.63% 95,495 $11.8M
15 Jones Hill Capital LP 2.58% 98,442 $12.2M
16 Kryger Capital LLC 2.02% 286,712 $35.4M
17 Sagefield Capital LP 1.80% 196,481 $24.3M
18 Harvest Management LLC 1.75% 36,000 $4.4M
19 Affinity Asset Advisors, LLC 1.54% 275,000 $34.0M
20 Ra Capital Management, L.P. 1.34% 1,246,456 $153.9M
21 GABELLI & Co INVESTMENT ADVISERS, INC. 1.33% 74,244 $9.2M
22 Oddo Bhf Asset Management Sas 1.30% 227,386 $28.1M
23 Water Island Capital LLC 1.19% 103,979 $12.8M
24 Cinctive Capital Management LP 1.09% 240,806 $29.7M
25 AQR Arbitrage LLC 1.06% 601,633 $74.3M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Nuvalent Inc (NUVL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for NUVL?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NUVL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for NUVL?

Slight buying edge — 59% buying: Last quarter: 203 funds bought or added vs 143 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for NUVL holders?

Strong quality — 32% AUM from major funds: 51 of 289 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 32% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held NUVL?

Mixed — 34% long-term, 44% new: Of the 294 current holders: 99 (34%) held >2 years, 66 held 1–2 years, and 129 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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