Based on 3 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 4 quarters in a row
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed this position than added to it. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 13% of 1.2Y high
13% of all-time peak
Only 3 funds hold this stock today versus a peak of 23 funds at 2024 Q4 — just 13% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
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Outflows — 87% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 5Q
20 fewer hedge funds hold this stock compared to a year ago (-87% decline). When institutions consistently reduce exposure, it's worth asking what they know that retail investors don't.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 40% buying
2 buying3 selling
Last quarter: 3 funds reduced or exited vs 2 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~1 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 3 → 1 → 1 → 1. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 33% entered in last year
■ 0% conviction (2yr+)
■ 67% medium
■ 33% new
Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
3 → 1 → 1 → 1 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 3 → 1 → 1 → 1. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🌱
Early stage — 100% of holders entered in last year
■ 0% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 100% new
Of 3 current holders: 3 (100%) entered in the past year, only 0 (0%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
✅
Strong quality — 33% from major AUM funds
33% from top-100 AUM funds
1 of 3 current holders rank in the top 100 by AUM. A meaningful share of the ownership base comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 1.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.