Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Natera Inc (NTRA)

835 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in NTRA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +80
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
61%

Smart Money Signals — NTRA

Based on 843 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added NTRA than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
843 hedge funds hold NTRA right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +31% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+200 new funds entered over the past year (+31% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 61% buying

515 buying330 selling
Last quarter: 515 funds were net buyers (163 opened a brand new position + 352 added to an existing one). Only 330 were sellers (247 trimmed + 83 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+62 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new NTRA position: 111 → 179 → 101 → 163. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

41% of holders stayed for 2+ years

41% conviction (2yr+) 33% medium 26% new
345 out of 843 hedge funds have held NTRA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~163 new funds/quarter

118 → 111 → 179 → 101 → 163 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 111 → 179 → 101 → 163. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 45% veterans vs 35% newcomers

45% veterans 20% 1-2yr 35% new
Entry-cohort mix of 875 holders: 398 (45%) are 2+ year veterans, 172 entered 1–2 years ago, and 305 (35%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 61% AUM from top-100 funds

61% from top-100 AUM funds
69 of 840 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 61% of total institutional value in NTRA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — NTRA

In 2026 Q2, 515 hedge funds were net buyers of NTRA (163 opened a new position, 352 added to an existing one), while 330 reduced or exited (247 trimmed, 83 sold completely) — a 61% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. 61% of total institutional value in NTRA is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +80 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 843.

Hedge Fund Ownership: NTRA

How many hedge funds hold NTRA — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of NTRA vs. share price

Market Analysis: NTRA

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: NTRA

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Natera Inc (NTRA) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much NTRA has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLV) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 85d ago
NTRA
+36.5%
XLV
+6.9%

NTRA outperformed XLV by +29.6% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 40d ago
NTRA
+19.6%
XLV
+1.4%

Since the filing became public, NTRA outperformed XLV by +18.2% .

Interpretation: The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

30 top-rated funds 9 high-conviction
Consensus
6.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.5
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: NTRA
835 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in NTRA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 835 763 9.44%
13F Shares 137M 123M 11.32%
Total Value $32.91B $20.73B 58.72%
New Positions 160 101 +59
Increased Positions 347 294 +53
Closed Positions 85 112 -27
Reduced Positions 238 266 -28
Total Calls 19 11 72.73%
Total Puts 16 13 23.08%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.84 1.18 Neutral

Statistics: NTRA

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

835 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in NTRA. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 NTRA holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Sofinnova Investments, Inc. 21.76% 1,550,280 $420.8M
2 Lagoda Investment Management, L.P. 8.73% 58,503 $15.9M
3 Systrade AG 8.50% 50,000 $13.6M
4 Perkins Capital Management Inc 8.29% 40,605 $11.0M
5 Blue Water Life Science Advisors, LP 5.90% 34,494 $9.4M
6 Davern Capital Partners, LP 5.51% 118,975 $32.3M
7 Beaconlight Capital, LLC 5.11% 53,312 $14.5M
8 Science & Technology Partners, L.P. 5.03% 109,880 $29.8M
9 Avala Global LP 4.60% 460,000 $124.9M
10 Capital Impact Advisors, LLC 4.51% 296,228 $80.4M
11 ThornTree Capital Partners LP 4.31% 116,021 $31.5M
12 Catalio Capital Management, LP 4.19% 82,181 $22.3M
13 Maverick Capital Ltd 3.25% 1,356,663 $368.3M
14 Castle Hook Partners LP 3.23% 2,596,276 $704.8M
15 IQ EQ FUND MANAGEMENT (SINGAPORE) PRIVATE Ltd 3.03% 6,500 $1.8M
16 Aubrey Capital Management Ltd 2.72% 16,000 $4.3M
17 Eversept Partners, LP 2.48% 175,807 $47.7M
18 Rtw Investments, LP 2.32% 1,000,000 $271.4M
19 Exome Asset Management LLC 2.31% 13,800 $3.7M
20 Jag Capital Management, LLC 2.20% 86,613 $23.5M
21 Zweig-DiMenna Associates LLC 2.02% 81,982 $22.3M
22 Pinnbrook Capital Management LP 2.01% 69,300 $18.8M
23 Brandywine Managers, LLC 1.96% 14,588 $4.0M
24 Rockingstone Advisors LLC 1.87% 17,117 $4.6M
25 Summit Partners Public Asset Management, LLC 1.86% 389,000 $105.6M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Natera Inc (NTRA)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for NTRA?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added NTRA than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for NTRA?

More buyers than sellers — 61% buying: Last quarter: 515 funds were net buyers (163 opened a brand new position + 352 added to an existing one). Only 330 were sellers (247 trimmed + 83 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for NTRA holders?

Elite ownership — 61% AUM from top-100 funds: 69 of 840 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 61% of total institutional value in NTRA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held NTRA?

41% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 345 out of 843 hedge funds have held NTRA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Natera Inc (NTRA) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, NTRA has moved +19.6% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to +1.4% for the XLV sector ETF — an outperformance of +18.2%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), NTRA has gained +36.5% vs +6.9% for XLV. The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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