Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Natera Inc (NTRA)

755 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in NTRA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -13
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
51%

Smart Money Signals — NTRA

Based on 760 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NTRA positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (98% of max)

98% of all-time peak
760 hedge funds hold NTRA right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +30% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+177 new funds entered over the past year (+30% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 51% buying

404 buying381 selling
Last quarter: 404 funds bought or added vs 381 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-79 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 117 → 111 → 179 → 100. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

41% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 41% conviction (2yr+) ■ 32% medium ■ 27% new
314 out of 760 hedge funds have held NTRA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -8%, value -26%

Value
-26%
Shares
-8%
Last quarter: funds added -8% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -26%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

116 → 117 → 111 → 179 → 100 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 117 → 111 → 179 → 100. A growing number of institutions are discovering NTRA each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 44% veterans vs 38% newcomers

■ 44% veterans ■ 18% 1-2yr ■ 38% new
Entry-cohort mix of 783 holders: 346 (44%) are 2+ year veterans, 138 entered 1–2 years ago, and 299 (38%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 40% AUM from top-100 funds

40% from top-100 AUM funds
65 of 759 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 40% of total institutional value in NTRA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — NTRA

In 2026 Q1, 404 hedge funds were net buyers of NTRA (100 opened a new position, 304 added to an existing one), while 381 reduced or exited (268 trimmed, 113 sold completely) — a 51% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 40% of total institutional value in NTRA is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -13 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 760.

Hedge Fund Ownership: NTRA

How many hedge funds hold NTRA — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of NTRA vs. share price

Market Analysis: NTRA

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: NTRA

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Natera Inc (NTRA) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much NTRA has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLV) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 79d ago
NTRA
+14.8%
XLV
+1.7%

NTRA outperformed XLV by +13.1% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 34d ago
NTRA
+23.2%
XLV
+2.7%

Since the filing became public, NTRA outperformed XLV by +20.5% .

Interpretation: The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

53 top-rated funds 11 high-conviction
Consensus
7.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: NTRA
755 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in NTRA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 755 773 -2.33%
13F Shares 122M 132M -8.17%
Total Value $20.51B $27.80B -26.22%
New Positions 99 179 -80
Increased Positions 293 275 +18
Closed Positions 117 81 +36
Reduced Positions 263 240 +23
Total Calls 11 13 -15.38%
Total Puts 13 15 -13.33%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.18 1.15 Neutral

Statistics: NTRA

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Total Cash (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

755 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in NTRA. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 NTRA holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Civilization Ventures Management, LLC 31.53% 228,458 $52.3M
2 Sofinnova Investments, Inc. 11.78% 1,550,280 $310.0M
3 Perkins Capital Management Inc 8.30% 44,300 $8.9M
4 Lagoda Investment Management, L.P. 7.95% 64,455 $12.9M
5 Davern Capital Partners, LP 7.90% 143,966 $28.8M
6 Blue Water Life Science Advisors, LP 7.18% 44,794 $9.0M
7 Systrade AG 6.71% 50,000 $10.0M
8 Science & Technology Partners, L.P. 5.22% 99,732 $19.9M
9 Eagle Health Investments LP 4.26% 121,877 $24.4M
10 Eversept Partners, LP 4.06% 384,713 $76.9M
11 Farallon Capital Management LLC 3.66% 3,207,366 $641.4M
12 Beaconlight Capital, LLC 3.54% 33,589 $6.7M
13 Pura Vida Investments, LLC 3.36% 2,500 $500K
14 Capital Impact Advisors, LLC 3.24% 40,033 $8.0M
15 Catalio Capital Management, LP 2.96% 70,907 $14.2M
16 Maverick Capital Ltd 2.70% 1,171,633 $234.3M
17 Rtw Investments, LP 2.49% 1,250,000 $250.0M
18 Maplelane Capital, LLC 2.44% 135,862 $68.0M
19 Maplelane Capital, LLC 2.43% 339,000 $67.8M
20 Castle Hook Partners LP 2.16% 2,529,810 $505.9M
21 Zweig-DiMenna Associates LLC 2.11% 76,250 $15.2M
22 Summit Partners Public Asset Management, LLC 2.00% 371,603 $74.3M
23 Exome Asset Management LLC 1.93% 18,650 $3.7M
24 Jag Capital Management, LLC 1.91% 85,091 $17.0M
25 PointState Capital LP 1.87% 739,879 $148.0M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Natera Inc (NTRA)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for NTRA?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NTRA positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for NTRA?

Slight buying edge — 51% buying: Last quarter: 404 funds bought or added vs 381 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for NTRA holders?

Elite ownership — 40% AUM from top-100 funds: 65 of 759 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 40% of total institutional value in NTRA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held NTRA?

41% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 314 out of 760 hedge funds have held NTRA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Natera Inc (NTRA) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, NTRA has moved +23.2% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +2.7% for the XLV sector ETF — an outperformance of +20.5%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), NTRA has gained +14.8% vs +1.7% for XLV. The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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