Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Nutrien Ltd (NTR)

734 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in NTR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +76
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
56%

Smart Money Signals — NTR

Based on 742 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NTR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
742 hedge funds hold NTR right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +23% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+139 new funds entered over the past year (+23% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 56% buying

394 buying305 selling
Last quarter: 394 funds bought or added vs 305 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+39 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new NTR position: 105 → 72 → 99 → 138. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 63% conviction (2yr+) ■ 17% medium ■ 20% new
467 out of 742 hedge funds have held NTR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+8% value, -9% shares)

Value
+8%
Shares
-8%
Last quarter: total value of institutional NTR holdings rose +8% even though funds reduced share count by 9%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

92 → 105 → 72 → 99 → 138 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 105 → 72 → 99 → 138. A growing number of institutions are discovering NTR each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 68% veterans vs 21% newcomers

■ 68% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 21% new
Entry-cohort mix of 786 holders: 533 (68%) are 2+ year veterans, 86 entered 1–2 years ago, and 167 (21%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 55% AUM from top-100 funds

55% from top-100 AUM funds
56 of 735 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 55% of total institutional value in NTR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — NTR

In 2026 Q1, 394 hedge funds were net buyers of NTR (138 opened a new position, 256 added to an existing one), while 305 reduced or exited (243 trimmed, 62 sold completely) — a 56% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 55% of total institutional value in NTR is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +76 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 742.

Hedge Fund Ownership: NTR

How many hedge funds hold NTR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of NTR vs. share price

Market Analysis: NTR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: NTR

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Nutrien Ltd (NTR) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much NTR has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 74d ago
NTR
-10.4%
SPY
+14.1%

NTR outperformed SPY by -24.5% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 29d ago
NTR
-5.5%
SPY
+0.3%

Since the filing became public, NTR outperformed SPY by -5.8% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Strong Institutional Conviction

Multiple high-quality funds hold meaningful positions with strong conviction.

41 top-rated funds 19 high-conviction
Consensus
7.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
7.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: NTR
734 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in NTR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 734 666 10.21%
13F Shares 316M 345M -8.61%
Total Value $23.01B $21.29B 8.08%
New Positions 135 99 +36
Increased Positions 244 223 +21
Closed Positions 67 76 -9
Reduced Positions 230 214 +16
Total Calls 25 25 -
Total Puts 26 29 -10.34%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.04 1.16 Neutral

Statistics: NTR

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
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Income Statement & Cash Flow
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Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

734 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in NTR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 NTR holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Silchester International Investors LLP 85.51% 1,309,665 $98.8M
2 Murchinson Ltd. 25.77% 2,701,900 $203.9M
3 Moerus Capital Management LLC 16.70% 599,236 $45.2M
4 Kopernik Global Investors, LLC 7.50% 1,423,780 $107.4M
5 Drummond Knight Asset Management Pty Ltd 7.33% 274,543 $20.7M
6 Murchinson Ltd. 6.29% 659,531 $49.8M
7 Promethos Capital, LLC 4.96% 244,414 $18.4M
8 Colrain Capital LLC 4.91% 167,129 $12.7M
9 Diversified Investment Strategies, LLC 4.59% 95,292 $7.2M
10 Barometer Capital Management INC. 4.50% 125,300 $13.2M
11 Townsend & Associates, Inc 3.81% 617,538 $44.2M
12 Black Creek Investment Management Inc. 3.50% 867,438 $65.3M
13 Letko, Brosseau & Associates Inc 3.34% 2,756,910 $207.4M
14 Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC 3.33% 822,291 $62.1M
15 Old West Investment Management, LLC 3.19% 390,348 $29.5M
16 Credit Capital Investments LLC 3.08% 45,000 $3.4M
17 Sagil Capital LLP 2.87% 100,000 $7.5M
18 O'Brien Greene & Co. Inc 2.81% 131,555 $9.9M
19 CORDA Investment Management, LLC. 2.80% 536,435 $40.5M
20 DJE Kapital AG 2.57% 1,534,869 $116.1M
21 Burkett Asset Management Ltd 2.44% 32,851 $2.5M
22 SailingStone Capital Partners LLC 2.30% 133,973 $10.1M
23 McAlvany Wealth Management LLC 2.26% 43,900 $3.4M
24 Financial Sense Advisors, Inc. 2.21% 144,201 $10.9M
25 Guardian Partners Inc. 2.20% 350,388 $26.4M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Nutrien Ltd (NTR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for NTR?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NTR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for NTR?

Slight buying edge — 56% buying: Last quarter: 394 funds bought or added vs 305 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for NTR holders?

Elite ownership — 55% AUM from top-100 funds: 56 of 735 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 55% of total institutional value in NTR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held NTR?

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 467 out of 742 hedge funds have held NTR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Nutrien Ltd (NTR) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, NTR has moved -5.5% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +0.3% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of -5.8%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), NTR has gained -10.4% vs +14.1% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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