Based on 6 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NTCL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 67% of 1.2Y high
67% of all-time peak
Only 6 funds hold NTCL today versus a peak of 9 funds at 2025 Q2 — just 67% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +200% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 5Q
+4 new funds entered over the past year (+200% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks. The peak was reached in just 2 quarters from the low — a sharp move.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 22% buying
2 buying7 selling
Last quarter: 7 funds sold vs only 2 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~2 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 0 → 8 → 3 → 2. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 83% entered in last year
■ 0% conviction (2yr+)
■ 17% medium
■ 83% new
Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -5%, value -78%
Last quarter: funds added -5% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -78%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊
Peak discovery — momentum slowing
0 → 8 → 3 → 2 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 0 → 8 → 3 → 2. NTCL is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🌱
Early stage — 100% of holders entered in last year
■ 0% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 100% new
Of 6 current holders: 6 (100%) entered in the past year, only 0 (0%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
🏆
Elite ownership — 92% AUM from top-100 funds
92% from top-100 AUM funds
2 of 6 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 92% of total institutional value in NTCL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
6.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 6.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.