Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Nrg Energy Inc (NRG)

1K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in NRG. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -39
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
48%

Smart Money Signals — NRG

Based on 1028 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NRG positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (96% of max)

96% of all-time peak
1,028 hedge funds hold NRG right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding NRG is almost the same as a year ago (+24 funds, +2% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying

518 buying571 selling
Last quarter: 571 funds reduced or exited vs 518 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-27 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 150 → 163 → 160 → 133. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

58% of holders stayed for 2+ years

58% conviction (2yr+) 24% medium 19% new
592 out of 1,028 hedge funds have held NRG for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +21%, value +3%

Value
+2%
Shares
+20%
Last quarter: funds added +21% more shares while total portfolio value only changed +3%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~133 new funds/quarter

246 → 150 → 163 → 160 → 133 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 150 → 163 → 160 → 133. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 61% veterans vs 24% newcomers

61% veterans 15% 1-2yr 24% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,070 holders: 652 (61%) are 2+ year veterans, 157 entered 1–2 years ago, and 261 (24%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 65% AUM from top-100 funds

65% from top-100 AUM funds
67 of 1021 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 65% of total institutional value in NRG. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.4
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.4/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — NRG

In 2026 Q2, 518 hedge funds were net buyers of NRG (133 opened a new position, 385 added to an existing one), while 571 reduced or exited (399 trimmed, 172 sold completely) — a 48% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 65% of total institutional value in NRG is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -39 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 1028.

Hedge Fund Ownership: NRG

How many hedge funds hold NRG — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of NRG vs. share price

Market Analysis: NRG

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: NRG

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Nrg Energy Inc (NRG) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much NRG has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLU) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 81d ago
NRG
-28.8%
XLU
-8.1%

NRG outperformed XLU by -20.7% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 36d ago
NRG
-17.6%
XLU
-5.9%

Since the filing became public, NRG outperformed XLU by -11.7% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

38 top-rated funds 14 high-conviction
Consensus
6.9
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
5.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: NRG
1K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in NRG. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 1010 1067 -5.34%
13F Shares 202M 197M 2.98%
Total Value $28.66B $28.13B 1.89%
New Positions 129 160 -31
Increased Positions 378 459 -81
Closed Positions 179 158 +21
Reduced Positions 383 309 +74
Total Calls 29 19 52.63%
Total Puts 19 19 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.66 1.0 Bullish

Statistics: NRG

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

1K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in NRG. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 NRG holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Bluescape Energy Partners LLC 16.81% 342,250 $50.0M
2 Glendon Capital Management LP 13.47% 712,345 $104.0M
3 Permian Investment Partners, LP 9.46% 590,431 $86.2M
4 Wealth High Governance Asset Management Ltda. 6.95% 244,105 $38.9M
5 Webs Creek Capital Management LP 5.96% 215,518 $31.5M
6 Lyrical Asset Management LP 4.98% 2,689,623 $392.8M
7 Luxor Capital Group, LP 4.11% 707,775 $103.4M
8 Segra Capital Management, LLC 3.83% 130,000 $19.0M
9 Community Bank of Raymore 3.79% 44,000 $6.4M
10 One Fin Capital Management LP 3.63% 77,000 $11.2M
11 Hartree Partners, LP 3.34% 107,400 $15.7M
12 Appaloosa LP 3.33% 1,760,000 $257.1M
13 Caspian Capital LP 3.32% 40,000 $5.8M
14 Electron Capital Partners, LLC 2.09% 357,635 $52.2M
15 Aventail Capital Group, LP 2.02% 241,067 $35.2M
16 Hiddenite Capital Partners LP 1.89% 151,000 $22.1M
17 Hiddenite Capital Partners LP 1.88% 150,000 $21.9M
18 Capricorn Fund Managers Ltd 1.74% 151,000 $22.1M
19 Converium Capital Inc. 1.68% 90,000 $13.1M
20 Fairfield Financial Advisors, LTD 1.67% 28,959 $4.2M
21 Integras Partners LLC 1.62% 20,054 $2.9M
22 Hedeker Wealth, LLC 1.60% 57,555 $8.4M
23 Farrow Financial, Inc. 1.50% 19,242 $2.8M
24 Teilinger Capital Ltd. 1.43% 70,000 $10.2M
25 Reaves W H & Co Inc 1.42% 640,357 $93.5M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Nrg Energy Inc (NRG)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for NRG?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NRG positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for NRG?

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying: Last quarter: 571 funds reduced or exited vs 518 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for NRG holders?

Elite ownership — 65% AUM from top-100 funds: 67 of 1021 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 65% of total institutional value in NRG. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held NRG?

58% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 592 out of 1,028 hedge funds have held NRG for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Nrg Energy Inc (NRG) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, NRG has moved -17.6% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -5.9% for the XLU sector ETF — an outperformance of -11.7%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), NRG has gained -28.8% vs -8.1% for XLU. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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