Based on 154 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NPK positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (98% of max)
98% of all-time peak
154 hedge funds hold NPK right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
〰️
Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year
fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding NPK is almost the same as a year ago (-1 funds, -1% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 46% buying
65 buying77 selling
Last quarter: 77 funds reduced or exited vs 65 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-6 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 19 → 21 → 26 → 20. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒
60% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 60% conviction (2yr+)
■ 21% medium
■ 19% new
93 out of 154 hedge funds have held NPK for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈
Growing discovery — still being found
30 → 19 → 21 → 26 → 20 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 19 → 21 → 26 → 20. A growing number of institutions are discovering NPK each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 66% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 66% veterans
■ 10% 1-2yr
■ 24% new
Of 154 current holders: 102 (66%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆
Elite ownership — 42% AUM from top-100 funds
42% from top-100 AUM funds
30 of 154 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 42% of total institutional value in NPK. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 3.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.