Based on 93 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NPB than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
93 hedge funds hold NPB right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +9200% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+92 new funds entered over the past year (+9200% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 79% buying
73 buying19 selling
Last quarter: 73 funds were net buyers (22 opened a brand new position + 51 added to an existing one). Only 19 were sellers (14 trimmed + 5 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~22 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 45 → 32 → 21 → 22. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 66% entered in last year
■ 2% conviction (2yr+)
■ 32% medium
■ 66% new
Only 2 funds (2%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
📊
Peak discovery — momentum slowing
0 → 45 → 32 → 21 → 22 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 45 → 32 → 21 → 22. NPB is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🌱
Early stage — 96% of holders entered in last year
■ 4% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 96% new
Of 93 current holders: 89 (96%) entered in the past year, only 4 (4%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
🏆
Elite ownership — 50% AUM from top-100 funds
50% from top-100 AUM funds
24 of 93 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 50% of total institutional value in NPB. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
6.6
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 6.6/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.