Based on 14 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NOVZ positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 56% of 3.0Y high
56% of all-time peak
Only 14 funds hold NOVZ today versus a peak of 25 funds at 2025 Q1 — just 56% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
📉
Outflows — 44% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
11 fewer hedge funds hold NOVZ compared to a year ago (-44% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 38% buying
5 buying8 selling
Last quarter: 8 funds sold vs only 5 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~1 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 2 → 2 → 5 → 1. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
43% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 43% conviction (2yr+)
■ 29% medium
■ 29% new
6 out of 14 hedge funds have held NOVZ for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares +14%, value -2%
Last quarter: funds added +14% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -2%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~1 new funds/quarter
4 → 2 → 2 → 5 → 1 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 2 → 2 → 5 → 1. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️
Veteran-anchored — 43% veterans vs 36% newcomers
■ 43% veterans
■ 21% 1-2yr
■ 36% new
Entry-cohort mix of 14 holders: 6 (43%) are 2+ year veterans, 3 entered 1–2 years ago, and 5 (36%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 0% AUM from top-100
0% from top-100 AUM funds
1 of 14 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 0% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
Exit risk score 2.1/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.