Based on 305 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NOG positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
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High ownership — 81% of 3.0Y peak
81% of all-time peak
305 funds currently hold this stock — 81% of the 3.0-year high of 375 funds (reached 2024 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
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Outflows — 19% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
70 fewer hedge funds hold NOG compared to a year ago (-19% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
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More sellers than buyers — 45% buying
160 buying197 selling
Last quarter: 197 funds reduced or exited vs 160 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
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More new buyers each quarter (+17 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new NOG position: 49 → 48 → 32 → 49. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
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63% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 63% conviction (2yr+)
■ 20% medium
■ 16% new
193 out of 305 hedge funds have held NOG for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Peak discovery — momentum slowing
82 → 49 → 48 → 32 → 49 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 49 → 48 → 32 → 49. NOG is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
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Deep conviction — 69% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 69% veterans
■ 8% 1-2yr
■ 23% new
Of 322 current holders: 221 (69%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
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Elite ownership — 56% AUM from top-100 funds
56% from top-100 AUM funds
35 of 305 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 56% of total institutional value in NOG. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 2.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.