Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Nomura Hldgs Inc (NMR)

267 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in NMR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +14
Streak
4Q ▲
Buyers last Q
69%

Smart Money Signals — NMR

Based on 269 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NMR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
269 hedge funds hold NMR right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +33% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+66 new funds entered over the past year (+33% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 69% buying

186 buying85 selling
Last quarter: 186 funds were net buyers (45 opened a brand new position + 141 added to an existing one). Only 85 were sellers (54 trimmed + 31 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-12 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 38 → 36 → 57 → 45. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

50% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 50% conviction (2yr+) ■ 22% medium ■ 29% new
134 out of 269 hedge funds have held NMR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

27 → 38 → 36 → 57 → 45 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 38 → 36 → 57 → 45. A growing number of institutions are discovering NMR each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 54% veterans vs 34% newcomers

■ 54% veterans ■ 13% 1-2yr ■ 34% new
Entry-cohort mix of 271 holders: 145 (54%) are 2+ year veterans, 35 entered 1–2 years ago, and 91 (34%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 56% AUM from top-100 funds

56% from top-100 AUM funds
33 of 269 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 56% of total institutional value in NMR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.2
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.2/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — NMR

In 2026 Q1, 186 hedge funds were net buyers of NMR (45 opened a new position, 141 added to an existing one), while 85 reduced or exited (54 trimmed, 31 sold completely) — a 69% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. This marks 4 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 56% of total institutional value in NMR is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +14 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 269.

Hedge Fund Ownership: NMR

How many hedge funds hold NMR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of NMR vs. share price

Market Analysis: NMR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: NMR

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Nomura Hldgs Inc (NMR) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much NMR has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 79d ago
NMR
+13.7%
XLF
+9.5%

NMR outperformed XLF by +4.2% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 34d ago
NMR
+12.1%
XLF
+5.8%

Since the filing became public, NMR outperformed XLF by +6.3% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

13 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
5.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: NMR
267 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in NMR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 267 255 4.71%
13F Shares 84M 77M 9.51%
Total Value $658M $660M -0.33%
New Positions 44 57 -13
Increased Positions 139 117 +22
Closed Positions 32 21 +11
Reduced Positions 53 54 -1
Total Calls 2 3 -33.33%
Total Puts 0 1 -100.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.33 Bullish

Statistics: NMR

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

267 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in NMR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 NMR holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Donald Smith & CO., INC. 1.87% 13,169,493 $103.9M
2 Integrated Quantitative Investments LLC 0.71% 495,744 $3.9M
3 Carrera Capital Advisors 0.70% 575,559 $4.5M
4 DMC Group, LLC 0.27% 49,750 $393K
5 Gallacher Capital Management LLC 0.20% 67,303 $531K
6 EntryPoint Capital, LLC 0.17% 75,173 $593K
7 Marietta Investment Partners LLC 0.17% 108,752 $858K
8 Ethic Inc. 0.14% 1,123,117 $8.9M
9 Ellevest, Inc. 0.10% 95,502 $754K
10 Brown Financial Advisors 0.09% 31,701 $250K
11 BSW Wealth Partners 0.09% 94,474 $745K
12 First Affirmative Financial Network 0.08% 23,086 $168K
13 Gradient Investments LLC 0.07% 594,862 $4.7M
14 Paladin Wealth, LLC 0.07% 12,629 $100K
15 Scientech Research LLC 0.07% 10,160 $80K
16 MQS Management LLC 0.07% 12,272 $97K
17 Mattson Financial Services, LLC 0.06% 33,750 $266K
18 Successful Portfolios LLC 0.06% 15,000 $114K
19 Cromwell Holdings LLC 0.06% 12,467 $98K
20 Optas, LLC 0.05% 46,039 $363K
21 Abacus Wealth Partners, LLC 0.05% 74,105 $585K
22 Canopy Partners, LLC 0.05% 19,244 $152K
23 Versant Capital Management, Inc 0.05% 62,882 $496K
24 West Family Investments, Inc. 0.05% 17,034 $134K
25 Aaron Wealth Advisors LLC 0.04% 93,153 $735K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Nomura Hldgs Inc (NMR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for NMR?

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row: For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NMR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for NMR?

More buyers than sellers — 69% buying: Last quarter: 186 funds were net buyers (45 opened a brand new position + 141 added to an existing one). Only 85 were sellers (54 trimmed + 31 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for NMR holders?

Elite ownership — 56% AUM from top-100 funds: 33 of 269 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 56% of total institutional value in NMR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held NMR?

50% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 134 out of 269 hedge funds have held NMR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Nomura Hldgs Inc (NMR) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, NMR has moved +12.1% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +5.8% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of +6.3%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), NMR has gained +13.7% vs +9.5% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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