Based on 236 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NLOP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
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At the ownership peak (98% of max)
98% of all-time peak
236 hedge funds hold NLOP right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year
fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding NLOP is almost the same as a year ago (-6 funds, -2% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
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Slight buying edge — 52% buying
100 buying91 selling
Last quarter: 100 funds bought or added vs 91 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
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Steady new buyers — ~35 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 28 → 17 → 33 → 35. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
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42% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 42% conviction (2yr+)
■ 35% medium
■ 22% new
100 out of 236 hedge funds have held NLOP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in
31 → 28 → 17 → 33 → 35 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 28 → 17 → 33 → 35. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
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Mixed cohorts — 3% veterans, 29% new entrants
■ 3% veterans
■ 67% 1-2yr
■ 29% new
Of 238 current holders: 8 (3%) held 2+ years, 160 held 1–2 years, 70 (29%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
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Elite ownership — 40% AUM from top-100 funds
40% from top-100 AUM funds
29 of 236 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 40% of total institutional value in NLOP. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.