Based on 4 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q3 · updated quarterly
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Selling streak — 4 quarters in a row
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NKLAQ positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
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Below peak — only 3% of 1.5Y high
3% of all-time peak
Only 4 funds hold NKLAQ today versus a peak of 157 funds at 2024 Q3 — just 3% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
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Outflows — 97% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
153 fewer hedge funds hold NKLAQ compared to a year ago (-97% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
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Heavy selling pressure — only 0% buying
0 buying3 selling
Last quarter: 3 funds sold vs only 0 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
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Steady new buyers — ~0 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 35 → 4 → 1 → 0. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
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Buying through price weakness — shares -30%, value -49%
Last quarter: funds added -30% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -49%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
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Saturation — most institutions already know this story
50 → 35 → 4 → 1 → 0 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 35 → 4 → 1 → 0. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
Exit risk score 2.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.