Based on 12 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NIVFW positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊
High ownership — 86% of 3.0Y peak
86% of all-time peak
12 funds currently hold this stock — 86% of the 3.0-year high of 14 funds (reached 2024 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉
Outflows — 14% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
2 fewer hedge funds hold NIVFW compared to a year ago (-14% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 0% buying
0 buying4 selling
Last quarter: 4 funds sold vs only 0 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~0 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 1 → 1 → 2 → 0. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 17% entered in last year
■ 17% conviction (2yr+)
■ 67% medium
■ 17% new
Only 2 funds (17%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -2%, value -99%
Last quarter: funds added -2% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -99%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~0 new funds/quarter
0 → 1 → 1 → 2 → 0 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 1 → 1 → 2 → 0. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
📊
Mixed cohorts — 17% veterans, 25% new entrants
■ 17% veterans
■ 58% 1-2yr
■ 25% new
Of 12 current holders: 2 (17%) held 2+ years, 7 held 1–2 years, 3 (25%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 19% AUM from top-100
19% from top-100 AUM funds
2 of 12 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 19% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
5.2
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 5.2/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.