Based on 315 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 9 quarters in a row
For 9 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NGD than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
315 hedge funds hold NGD right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +46% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+99 new funds entered over the past year (+46% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 48% buying
166 buying182 selling
Last quarter: 182 funds reduced or exited vs 166 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈
More new buyers each quarter (+32 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new NGD position: 48 → 60 → 59 → 91. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒
46% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 46% conviction (2yr+)
■ 23% medium
■ 32% new
144 out of 315 hedge funds have held NGD for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰
Value +31% but shares only +8% — price-driven
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +31%, but actual share count only changed +8%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
📈
Growing discovery — still being found
35 → 48 → 60 → 59 → 91 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 48 → 60 → 59 → 91. A growing number of institutions are discovering NGD each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 58% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 58% veterans
■ 8% 1-2yr
■ 33% new
Of 330 current holders: 193 (58%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅
Strong quality — 34% AUM from major funds
34% from top-100 AUM funds
33 of 315 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 34% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.4
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.4/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.