Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Nextdecade Corp (NEXT)

206 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in NEXT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Fetching live quote...
Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +2
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
59%

Smart Money Signals — NEXT

Based on 213 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NEXT than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
213 hedge funds hold NEXT right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +21% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+37 new funds entered over the past year (+21% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 59% buying

141 buying96 selling
Last quarter: 141 funds bought or added vs 96 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-17 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 37 → 37 → 60 → 43. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

42% of holders stayed for 2+ years

42% conviction (2yr+) 22% medium 36% new
90 out of 213 hedge funds have held NEXT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

22 → 37 → 37 → 60 → 43 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 37 → 37 → 60 → 43. A growing number of institutions are discovering NEXT each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 48% veterans vs 35% newcomers

48% veterans 17% 1-2yr 35% new
Entry-cohort mix of 234 holders: 112 (48%) are 2+ year veterans, 40 entered 1–2 years ago, and 82 (35%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 52% AUM from top-100 funds

52% from top-100 AUM funds
40 of 208 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 52% of total institutional value in NEXT. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.2
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.2/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — NEXT

In 2026 Q2, 141 hedge funds were net buyers of NEXT (43 opened a new position, 98 added to an existing one), while 96 reduced or exited (55 trimmed, 41 sold completely) — a 59% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 52% of total institutional value in NEXT is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +2 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 213.

Hedge Fund Ownership: NEXT

How many hedge funds hold NEXT — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of NEXT vs. share price

Market Analysis: NEXT

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: NEXT

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Nextdecade Corp (NEXT) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much NEXT has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLE) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 82d ago
NEXT
-8.9%
XLE
+21.1%

NEXT outperformed XLE by -30.0% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 37d ago
NEXT
-4.5%
XLE
+3.9%

Since the filing became public, NEXT outperformed XLE by -8.4% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

8 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
4.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: NEXT
206 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in NEXT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 206 211 -2.37%
13F Shares 126M 146M -13.74%
Total Value $943M $1.10B -14.32%
New Positions 43 60 -17
Increased Positions 89 84 +5
Closed Positions 43 34 +9
Reduced Positions 51 41 +10
Total Calls 15 17 -11.76%
Total Puts 11 12 -8.33%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.73 0.71 Neutral

Statistics: NEXT

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

206 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in NEXT. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 NEXT holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Man Investment Partners (US) LP 19.46% 9,274,894 $69.9M
2 Sl Advisors, LLC 10.89% 825,378 $6.2M
3 Freshford Capital Management, LLC 3.05% 1,180,872 $8.9M
4 ELCO Management Co., LLC 0.81% 248,312 $1.9M
5 Catalyst Capital Advisors LLC 0.65% 5,216,592 $39.3M
6 Hara Capital LLC 0.42% 105,730 $797K
7 VARCOV Co. 0.40% 138,493 $1.0M
8 Bridger Management, LLC 0.34% 67,837 $511K
9 Viking Fund Management LLC 0.34% 500,000 $3.8M
10 Mubadala Investment Co PJSC 0.31% 14,206,376 $107.1M
11 Wolf Hill Capital Management, LP 0.24% 374,896 $2.8M
12 nVerses Capital, LLC 0.22% 18,651 $141K
13 Sourcerock Group LLC 0.21% 538,230 $4.1M
14 O'Brien Greene & Co. Inc 0.18% 87,968 $663K
15 Yaupon Capital Management LP 0.15% 1,003,907 $7.6M
16 Genesis Financial Group, LLC 0.13% 27,000 $204K
17 Hourglass Capital, LLC 0.09% 55,814 $421K
18 Headlands Technologies LLC 0.09% 115,782 $873K
19 Optimize Financial INC. 0.09% 32,155 $242K
20 Westwood Holdings Group Inc 0.08% 1,412,509 $10.7M
21 Prelude Capital Management, LLC 0.06% 116,301 $877K
22 NEOS Investment Management LLC 0.06% 2,158,224 $16.3M
23 Sound Capital Solutions LLC 0.06% 32,155 $242K
24 Ironwood Investment Management LLC 0.05% 19,921 $150K
25 Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management LLC 0.05% 2,130,800 $16.1M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Nextdecade Corp (NEXT)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for NEXT?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NEXT than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for NEXT?

Slight buying edge — 59% buying: Last quarter: 141 funds bought or added vs 96 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for NEXT holders?

Elite ownership — 52% AUM from top-100 funds: 40 of 208 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 52% of total institutional value in NEXT. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held NEXT?

42% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 90 out of 213 hedge funds have held NEXT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Nextdecade Corp (NEXT) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, NEXT has moved -4.5% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to +3.9% for the XLE sector ETF — an outperformance of -8.4%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), NEXT has gained -8.9% vs +21.1% for XLE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →