Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Noble Corp plc (NE)

378 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in NE. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +29
Streak
5Q ▲
Buyers last Q
57%

Smart Money Signals — NE

Based on 380 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NE than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
380 hedge funds hold NE right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +27% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+81 new funds entered over the past year (+27% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 57% buying

222 buying169 selling
Last quarter: 222 funds bought or added vs 169 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+24 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new NE position: 70 → 68 → 59 → 83. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

49% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 49% conviction (2yr+) ■ 26% medium ■ 26% new
185 out of 380 hedge funds have held NE for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +72% but shares only +5% — price-driven

Value
+72%
Shares
+5%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +72%, but actual share count only changed +5%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~83 new funds/quarter

56 → 70 → 68 → 59 → 83 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 70 → 68 → 59 → 83. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 55% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 55% veterans ■ 12% 1-2yr ■ 34% new
Of 393 current holders: 215 (55%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅

Strong quality — 39% AUM from major funds

39% from top-100 AUM funds
53 of 380 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 39% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — NE

In 2026 Q1, 222 hedge funds were net buyers of NE (83 opened a new position, 139 added to an existing one), while 169 reduced or exited (115 trimmed, 54 sold completely) — a 57% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 5 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 39% of total institutional value in NE is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +29 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 380.

Hedge Fund Ownership: NE

How many hedge funds hold NE — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of NE vs. share price

Market Analysis: NE

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: NE

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Noble Corp plc (NE) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much NE has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLE) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 78d ago
NE
-11.6%
XLE
+60933.3%

NE outperformed XLE by -60944.9% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 33d ago
NE
-17.1%
XLE
+49836.4%

Since the filing became public, NE outperformed XLE by -49853.5% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

32 top-rated funds 7 high-conviction
Consensus
6.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
5.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: NE
378 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in NE. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 378 351 7.69%
13F Shares 130M 123M 5.43%
Total Value $6.00B $3.48B 72.35%
New Positions 81 59 +22
Increased Positions 134 128 +6
Closed Positions 54 51 +3
Reduced Positions 112 108 +4
Total Calls 8 9 -11.11%
Total Puts 10 10 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.25 1.11 Bearish

Statistics: NE

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Price/Book (mrq) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Total Cash (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

378 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in NE. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 NE holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Sourcerock Group LLC 7.29% 3,681,172 $180.6M
2 Mountain Lake Investment Management LLC 6.59% 207,795 $10.2M
3 Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC 4.85% 1,841,206 $90.3M
4 Hi-Line Capital Management, LLC 3.51% 227,589 $11.2M
5 Lifetime Wealth Management P.C. 3.41% 122,320 $6.0M
6 Hara Capital LLC 2.86% 116,863 $5.7M
7 Tensile Capital Management LP 2.81% 399,375 $19.6M
8 Tejara Capital Ltd 2.49% 154,004 $7.6M
9 Patient Capital Management, LLC 2.42% 1,347,854 $66.1M
10 Avidian Wealth Enterprises, LLC 2.02% 1,301,679 $63.9M
11 Hosking Partners LLP 1.85% 1,051,899 $51.6M
12 Valueworks LLC 1.54% 115,330 $5.7M
13 Sharpepoint LLC 1.19% 40,709 $2.0M
14 CWA Asset Management Group, LLC 1.18% 707,873 $34.7M
15 Old West Investment Management, LLC 1.12% 211,424 $10.4M
16 McAlvany Wealth Management LLC 1.11% 33,845 $1.7M
17 Robotti Robert 1.11% 145,268 $7.1M
18 First Eagle Investment Management, LLC 0.88% 13,561,846 $665.5M
19 Point Nemo Capital, LLC 0.86% 26,559 $1.3M
20 Contrarian Capital Management, L.L.C. 0.83% 60,000 $2.9M
21 Sagefield Capital LP 0.82% 233,166 $11.4M
22 Merrion Investment Management Co, LLC 0.79% 30,000 $1.5M
23 QVT Financial LP 0.75% 208,634 $10.2M
24 Merewether Investment Management, LP 0.74% 779,215 $38.2M
25 Contrarius Group Holdings Ltd 0.63% 227,247 $11.2M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Noble Corp plc (NE)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for NE?

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row: For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NE than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for NE?

Slight buying edge — 57% buying: Last quarter: 222 funds bought or added vs 169 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for NE holders?

Strong quality — 39% AUM from major funds: 53 of 380 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 39% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held NE?

49% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 185 out of 380 hedge funds have held NE for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Noble Corp plc (NE) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, NE has moved -17.1% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +49836.4% for the XLE sector ETF — an outperformance of -49853.5%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), NE has gained -11.6% vs +60933.3% for XLE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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