Based on 613 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NCLH than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (96% of max)
96% of all-time peak
613 hedge funds hold NCLH right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📉
Outflows — 4% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
26 fewer hedge funds hold NCLH compared to a year ago (-4% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟡
Slight buying edge — 54% buying
339 buying284 selling
Last quarter: 339 funds bought or added vs 284 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈
More new buyers each quarter (+7 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new NCLH position: 91 → 77 → 102 → 109. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒
61% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 61% conviction (2yr+)
■ 21% medium
■ 18% new
372 out of 613 hedge funds have held NCLH for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares +5%, value -66%
Last quarter: funds added +5% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -66%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈
Growing discovery — still being found
151 → 91 → 77 → 102 → 109 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 91 → 77 → 102 → 109. A growing number of institutions are discovering NCLH each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 69% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 69% veterans
■ 9% 1-2yr
■ 22% new
Of 665 current holders: 457 (69%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆
Elite ownership — 54% AUM from top-100 funds
54% from top-100 AUM funds
46 of 613 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 54% of total institutional value in NCLH. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 3.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.