Based on 52 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NCA positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
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High ownership — 84% of 3.0Y peak
84% of all-time peak
52 funds currently hold this stock — 84% of the 3.0-year high of 62 funds (reached 2024 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
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Outflows — 16% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
10 fewer hedge funds hold NCA compared to a year ago (-16% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
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Slight buying edge — 54% buying
22 buying19 selling
Last quarter: 22 funds bought or added vs 19 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~7 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 5 → 7 → 4 → 7. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
65% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 65% conviction (2yr+)
■ 25% medium
■ 10% new
34 out of 52 hedge funds have held NCA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~7 new funds/quarter
17 → 5 → 7 → 4 → 7 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 5 → 7 → 4 → 7. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 69% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 69% veterans
■ 13% 1-2yr
■ 17% new
Of 52 current holders: 36 (69%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆
Elite ownership — 55% AUM from top-100 funds
55% from top-100 AUM funds
7 of 52 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 55% of total institutional value in NCA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 2.4/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.