Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

NBT BANCORP INC (NBTB)

263 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in NBTB. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +27
Streak
4Q ▲
Buyers last Q
55%

Smart Money Signals — NBTB

Based on 260 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NBTB than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
260 hedge funds hold NBTB right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +33% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+64 new funds entered over the past year (+33% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 55% buying

133 buying108 selling
Last quarter: 133 funds bought or added vs 108 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+21 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new NBTB position: 33 → 45 → 30 → 51. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years

59% conviction (2yr+) 18% medium 23% new
153 out of 260 hedge funds have held NBTB for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~51 new funds/quarter

22 → 33 → 45 → 30 → 51 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 33 → 45 → 30 → 51. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 63% of holders stayed 2+ years

63% veterans 11% 1-2yr 26% new
Of 263 current holders: 166 (63%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 54% AUM from top-100 funds

54% from top-100 AUM funds
38 of 260 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 54% of total institutional value in NBTB. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: NBTB

How many hedge funds hold NBTB — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of NBTB vs. share price

Market Analysis: NBTB

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: NBTB

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

46 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
7.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: NBTB
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 21 days 263 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in NBTB. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 263 234 12.39%
13F Shares 33M 33M 0.29%
Total Value $1.36B $1.36B -0.22%
New Positions 51 30 +21
Increased Positions 84 69 +15
Closed Positions 24 28 -4
Reduced Positions 86 93 -7
Total Calls 2 1 100.0%
Total Puts 1 0 100%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.5 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: NBTB

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

263 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in NBTB. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of NBTB — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Horizon Advisory Services, Inc. 0.76% 34,781 $1.5M
2 NBT BANK N A /NY 0.73% 260,470 $11.1M
3 Shelter Rock Management, LLC 0.55% 12,163 $518K
4 Financial Planning Hawaii, Inc. 0.39% 15,439 $657K
5 PEOPLES FINANCIAL SERVICES CORP. 0.30% 15,000 $639K
6 SOL Capital Management CO 0.22% 10,477 $445K
7 Daytona Street Capital LLC 0.16% 4,768 $206K
8 TOMPKINS FINANCIAL CORP 0.13% 38,228 $1.6M
9 UNION SAVINGS BANK 0.12% 6,282 $267K
10 Cornell Pochily Investment Advisors, Inc. 0.09% 7,542 $321K
11 BIRCHBROOK, INC. 0.06% 2,991 $127K
12 Washington Trust Advisors, Inc. 0.04% 12,933 $551K
13 Inspire Investing, LLC 0.04% 12,037 $513K
14 Stonebridge Financial Group, LLC 0.04% 11,530 $491K
15 Stone House Investment Management, LLC 0.04% 5,165 $220K
16 Focused Wealth Management, Inc 0.03% 7,289 $310K
17 North Star Investment Management Corp. 0.03% 12,000 $511K
18 HOWE & RUSLING INC 0.03% 10,832 $461K
19 BUFFALO BUSINESS & ESTATE SERVICES LTD 0.03% 4,748 $202K
20 IFP Advisors, Inc 0.02% 24,818 $1.1M
21 Louisiana State Employees Retirement System 0.02% 23,200
22 BLB&B Advisors, LLC 0.01% 7,656 $326K
23 State of Alaska, Department of Revenue 0.01% 28,098 $1K
24 HARBOR INVESTMENT ADVISORY, LLC 0.01% 3,624 $154K
25 ProShare Advisors LLC 0.01% 156,906 $6.7M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — NBT BANCORP INC (NBTB)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for NBTB?

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row: For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NBTB than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for NBTB?

Slight buying edge — 55% buying: Last quarter: 133 funds bought or added vs 108 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for NBTB holders?

Elite ownership — 54% AUM from top-100 funds: 38 of 260 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 54% of total institutional value in NBTB. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held NBTB?

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 153 out of 260 hedge funds have held NBTB for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.