Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Nautilus Biotechnology Inc (NAUT)

79 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in NAUT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +13
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
64%

Smart Money Signals — NAUT

Based on 80 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NAUT than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
📊

High ownership — 93% of 3.0Y peak

93% of all-time peak
80 funds currently hold this stock — 93% of the 3.0-year high of 86 funds (reached 2025 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 7% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
6 fewer hedge funds hold NAUT compared to a year ago (-7% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 64% buying

44 buying25 selling
Last quarter: 44 funds were net buyers (26 opened a brand new position + 18 added to an existing one). Only 25 were sellers (12 trimmed + 13 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+14 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new NAUT position: 10 → 7 → 12 → 26. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

41% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 41% conviction (2yr+) ■ 21% medium ■ 38% new
33 out of 80 hedge funds have held NAUT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+82% value, -7% shares)

Value
+82%
Shares
-6%
Last quarter: total value of institutional NAUT holdings rose +82% even though funds reduced share count by 7%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

15 → 10 → 7 → 12 → 26 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 10 → 7 → 12 → 26. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 61% veterans vs 34% newcomers

■ 61% veterans ■ 5% 1-2yr ■ 34% new
Entry-cohort mix of 80 holders: 49 (61%) are 2+ year veterans, 4 entered 1–2 years ago, and 27 (34%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 6% AUM from top-100

6% from top-100 AUM funds
17 of 78 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 6% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
3.6
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — NAUT

In 2026 Q1, 44 hedge funds were net buyers of NAUT (26 opened a new position, 18 added to an existing one), while 25 reduced or exited (12 trimmed, 13 sold completely) — a 64% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. Net fund flow last quarter: +13 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 80.

Hedge Fund Ownership: NAUT

How many hedge funds hold NAUT — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of NAUT vs. share price

Market Analysis: NAUT

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: NAUT

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Nautilus Biotechnology Inc (NAUT) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much NAUT has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLV) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 79d ago
NAUT
-44.9%
XLV
+2.0%

NAUT outperformed XLV by -46.9% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 34d ago
NAUT
-14.9%
XLV
+3.1%

Since the filing became public, NAUT outperformed XLV by -18.0% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

6 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
3.7
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: NAUT
79 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in NAUT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 79 67 17.91%
13F Shares 54M 58M -6.73%
Total Value $205M $112M 82.29%
New Positions 25 12 +13
Increased Positions 18 18 -
Closed Positions 13 8 +5
Reduced Positions 12 14 -2
Total Calls 2 0 100%
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: NAUT

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

79 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in NAUT. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 NAUT holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 a16z Capital Management, L.L.C. 5.31% 17,653,917 $68.5M
2 Cercano Management LLC 1.20% 7,172,985 $27.8M
3 Perceptive Advisors LLC 0.96% 12,594,211 $48.9M
4 Tikvah Management LLC 0.87% 726,895 $2.8M
5 Hillman Co 0.30% 200,000 $776K
6 Comprehensive Financial Management LLC 0.28% 2,207,619 $8.6M
7 Amazon Com Inc 0.21% 1,457,055 $5.7M
8 CTC Alternative Strategies, Ltd. 0.11% 12,397 $48K
9 Clearstead Advisors, LLC 0.08% 2,329,784 $9.0M
10 Palumbo Wealth Management LLC 0.06% 65,231 $253K
11 Crewe Advisors LLC 0.05% 136,052 $528K
12 Presidio Capital Management, LLC 0.04% 34,664 $134K
13 Catalyst Funds Management Pty Ltd 0.03% 46,328 $180K
14 Diametric Capital, LP 0.02% 22,806 $88K
15 Symmetry Peak Management LLC 0.01% 12,500 $48K
16 Bridgeway Capital Management, LLC 0.01% 130,000 $504K
17 NINE MASTS CAPITAL Ltd 0.01% 10,395 $40K
18 Caprock Group, LLC 0.00% 44,090 $171K
19 Ashton Thomas Private Wealth, LLC 0.00% 45,000 $175K
20 Citizens Financial Group Inc/Ri 0.00% 50,000 $194K
21 Garde Capital, Inc. 0.00% 11,000 $43K
22 Bfsg, LLC 0.00% 6,700 $26K
23 Badgley Phelps Wealth Managers, LLC 0.00% 30,000 $116K
24 Callan Family Office, LLC 0.00% 25,970 $101K
25 Brevan Howard Capital Management LP 0.00% 60,501 $235K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Nautilus Biotechnology Inc (NAUT)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for NAUT?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NAUT than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for NAUT?

More buyers than sellers — 64% buying: Last quarter: 44 funds were net buyers (26 opened a brand new position + 18 added to an existing one). Only 25 were sellers (12 trimmed + 13 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for NAUT holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 6% AUM from top-100: 17 of 78 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 6% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held NAUT?

41% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 33 out of 80 hedge funds have held NAUT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Nautilus Biotechnology Inc (NAUT) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, NAUT has moved -14.9% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +3.1% for the XLV sector ETF — an outperformance of -18.0%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), NAUT has gained -44.9% vs +2.0% for XLV. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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