Based on 312 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NATL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
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At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
312 hedge funds hold NATL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Steady growth — +19% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+49 new funds entered over the past year (+19% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
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Slight buying edge — 52% buying
141 buying132 selling
Last quarter: 141 funds bought or added vs 132 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
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Steady new buyers — ~58 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 40 → 29 → 55 → 58. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
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Mixed — 39% long-term, 26% new
■ 39% conviction (2yr+)
■ 35% medium
■ 26% new
Of the 312 current holders: 121 (39%) held >2 years, 109 held 1–2 years, and 82 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
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Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in
36 → 40 → 29 → 55 → 58 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 40 → 29 → 55 → 58. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
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Mixed cohorts — 3% veterans, 32% new entrants
■ 3% veterans
■ 65% 1-2yr
■ 32% new
Of 318 current holders: 9 (3%) held 2+ years, 208 held 1–2 years, 101 (32%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
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Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds
46% from top-100 AUM funds
39 of 312 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in NATL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 3.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.