Stock Analysis

INNOVATOR ETFS TRUST (NAPR)

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -2
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
29%

Smart Money Signals — NAPR

Based on 85 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed this position than added to it. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (96% of max)

96% of all-time peak
85 hedge funds hold this stock right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a 'crowded trade' — high ownership doesn't mean safe.
📶

Steady growth — +9% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+7 new funds entered over the past year (+9% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🔴

Heavy selling pressure — only 29% buying

22 buying54 selling
Last quarter: 54 funds sold vs only 22 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~9 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 13 → 19 → 8 → 9. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

60% of holders stayed for 2+ years

60% conviction (2yr+) 16% medium 24% new
51 out of 85 hedge funds have held this stock for over 2 years without selling. Long-term holders are harder to shake out during market dips — they represent a stable ownership base that reduces the risk of sudden mass selling.
⚠️

Saturation — most institutions already know this story

8 → 13 → 19 → 8 → 9 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 13 → 19 → 8 → 9. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 61% of holders stayed 2+ years

61% veterans 13% 1-2yr 26% new
Of 85 current holders: 52 (61%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 7% top-100 AUM

7% from top-100 AUM funds
Only 6 of 85 current holders rank in the top 100 by AUM. The stock is held mostly by smaller and mid-sized funds — the largest institutional players haven't yet built significant positions.
4.5
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.5/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Hedge Fund Ownership: NAPR

How many hedge funds hold NAPR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of NAPR vs. share price

Market Analysis: NAPR

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Analyst Price Targets

-- Low
-- High
-- Average
-- Current

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: NAPR

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Hedge Fund Positioning: NAPR
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Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change

Statistics: NAPR

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Institutional Holders (2025 Q4)
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Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy
Price
13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed