Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Northern Dynasty Minerals Lt (NAK)

190 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in NAK. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +21
Streak
9Q ▲
Buyers last Q
56%

Smart Money Signals — NAK

Based on 190 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 9 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 9 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NAK than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
190 hedge funds hold NAK right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +39% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+53 new funds entered over the past year (+39% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 56% buying

99 buying77 selling
Last quarter: 99 funds bought or added vs 77 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+8 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new NAK position: 31 → 37 → 44 → 52. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
📌

Mixed — 38% long-term, 31% new

38% conviction (2yr+) 31% medium 31% new
Of the 190 current holders: 73 (38%) held >2 years, 58 held 1–2 years, and 59 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +3%, value -27%

Value
-26%
Shares
+2%
Last quarter: funds added +3% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -27%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

37 → 31 → 37 → 44 → 52 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 31 → 37 → 44 → 52. A growing number of institutions are discovering NAK each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 50% veterans vs 37% newcomers

50% veterans 13% 1-2yr 37% new
Entry-cohort mix of 197 holders: 98 (50%) are 2+ year veterans, 26 entered 1–2 years ago, and 73 (37%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 18% AUM from top-100

18% from top-100 AUM funds
28 of 188 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 18% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.2
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.2/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — NAK

In 2026 Q1, 99 hedge funds were net buyers of NAK (52 opened a new position, 47 added to an existing one), while 77 reduced or exited (46 trimmed, 31 sold completely) — a 56% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 9 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. Net fund flow last quarter: +21 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 190.

Hedge Fund Ownership: NAK

How many hedge funds hold NAK — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of NAK vs. share price

Market Analysis: NAK

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: NAK

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Northern Dynasty Minerals Lt (NAK) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much NAK has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 87d ago
NAK
+29.3%
SPY
+13.0%

NAK outperformed SPY by +16.3% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 42d ago
NAK
-11.3%
SPY
-0.5%

Since the filing became public, NAK outperformed SPY by -10.8% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

16 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
5.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.2
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: NAK
190 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in NAK. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 190 169 12.43%
13F Shares 121M 118M 2.8%
Total Value $170M $232M -26.85%
New Positions 52 44 +8
Increased Positions 43 41 +2
Closed Positions 31 34 -3
Reduced Positions 45 42 +3
Total Calls 6 11 -45.45%
Total Puts 3 6 -50.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.5 0.55 Bullish

Statistics: NAK

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

190 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in NAK. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 NAK holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Kopernik Global Investors, LLC 3.19% 32,655,846 $45.7M
2 Stenham Asset Management Ltd 1.39% 2,046,000 $2.9M
3 Bornite Capital Management LP 0.24% 1,000,000 $1.4M
4 Aletheian Wealth Advisors LLC 0.11% 168,200 $235K
5 LCM Capital Management Inc 0.11% 158,600 $222K
6 Western Reserve Capital Management, LLC 0.06% 56,106 $79K
7 Brady Family Wealth, LLC 0.05% 110,000 $154K
8 Ionic Capital Management LLC 0.05% 459,000 $643K
9 MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. 0.05% 24,303,203 $33.8M
10 Allium Financial Advisors, LLC 0.04% 35,000 $49K
11 Nations Financial Group Inc, /Ia/ /Adv 0.03% 421,300 $590K
12 Sage Investment Advisers LLC 0.03% 26,000 $38K
13 Game Plan Financial Advisors, LLC 0.03% 45,000 $63K
14 Cadinha & Co LLC 0.03% 100,000 $140K
15 Scratch Capital LLC 0.03% 32,434 $45K
16 626 Financial, LLC 0.02% 30,200 $42K
17 Caitong International Asset Management Co., Ltd 0.02% 71,130 $100K
18 IFC & Insurance Marketing, Inc. 0.02% 10,365 $15K
19 Tcfg Wealth Management, LLC 0.01% 24,600 $34K
20 TCFG Investment Advisors, LLC 0.01% 24,600 $34K
21 One Plus One Wealth Management, LLC 0.01% 21,208 $30K
22 Strathmore Capital Advisors, Inc. 0.01% 20,000 $39K
23 Two Sigma Investments, LP 0.01% 9,780,809 $13.7M
24 Allegheny Financial Group 0.01% 52,100 $73K
25 Primoris Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.01% 10,000 $14K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Northern Dynasty Minerals Lt (NAK)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for NAK?

Buying streak — 9 quarters in a row: For 9 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NAK than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for NAK?

Slight buying edge — 56% buying: Last quarter: 99 funds bought or added vs 77 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for NAK holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 18% AUM from top-100: 28 of 188 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 18% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held NAK?

Mixed — 38% long-term, 31% new: Of the 190 current holders: 73 (38%) held >2 years, 58 held 1–2 years, and 59 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.

Is it too late to buy Northern Dynasty Minerals Lt (NAK) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, NAK has moved -11.3% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -0.5% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of -10.8%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), NAK has gained +29.3% vs +13.0% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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