Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

MURPHY USA INC (MUSA)

506 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MUSA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +31
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
48%

Smart Money Signals — MUSA

Based on 490 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added MUSA than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
490 hedge funds hold MUSA right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding MUSA is almost the same as a year ago (+16 funds, +3% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying

238 buying257 selling
Last quarter: 257 funds reduced or exited vs 238 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+31 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new MUSA position: 57 → 81 → 64 → 95. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

60% of holders stayed for 2+ years

60% conviction (2yr+) 21% medium 19% new
293 out of 490 hedge funds have held MUSA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

58 → 57 → 81 → 64 → 95 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 57 → 81 → 64 → 95. A growing number of institutions are discovering MUSA each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 65% of holders stayed 2+ years

65% veterans 13% 1-2yr 23% new
Of 506 current holders: 327 (65%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds

49% from top-100 AUM funds
42 of 490 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in MUSA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.6
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: MUSA

How many hedge funds hold MUSA — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MUSA vs. share price

Market Analysis: MUSA

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MUSA

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

63 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
7.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MUSA
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 22 days 506 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MUSA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 506 471 7.43%
13F Shares 16M 16M 0.11%
Total Value $6.28B $6.04B 3.98%
New Positions 99 64 +35
Increased Positions 153 176 -23
Closed Positions 68 68 -
Reduced Positions 211 179 +32
Total Calls 8 9 -11.11%
Total Puts 8 4 100.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 0.44 Neutral

Statistics: MUSA

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

506 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MUSA. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of MUSA — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Security National Bank 3.78% 52,593 $26.0M
2 Leeward Investments, LLC - MA 0.97% 39,805 $19.7M
3 Fruth Investment Management 0.89% 7,216 $4K
4 Mustard Seed Financial, LLC 0.72% 2,437 $1.2M
5 WASHINGTON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC 0.61% 1,460 $721K
6 Bull Street Advisors, LLC 0.44% 1,779
7 Inspire Investing, LLC 0.30% 7,488 $3.7M
8 Monument Capital Management 0.27% 2,202 $1.1M
9 Moran Wealth Management, LLC 0.24% 15,802 $7.8M
10 FWG Holdings, LLC 0.23% 1,186 $602K
11 VIKING FUND MANAGEMENT LLC 0.20% 4,000 $2.0M
12 Eagle Bay Advisors LLC 0.18% 417 $206K
13 Linden Thomas Advisory Services, LLC 0.15% 3,252 $1.6M
14 NJ State Employees Deferred Compensation Plan 0.15% 3,500 $1.4M
15 STEINBERGANNA WEALTH MANAGEMENT 0.15% 615 $304K
16 SANDERS MORRIS HARRIS LLC 0.13% 1,700 $840K
17 Kenora Financial, LLC 0.11% 654 $323K
18 AdvisorShares Investments LLC 0.11% 1,201 $593K
19 Bayforest Capital Ltd 0.10% 185 $91K
20 STEPHENS INC /AR/ 0.10% 15,758 $7.8M
21 Gilliland Jeter Wealth Management LLC 0.09% 627 $310K
22 QUATTRO FINANCIAL ADVISORS LLC 0.09% 605 $299K
23 MOUNTAIN PACIFIC INVESTMENT ADVISERS LLC 0.08% 894 $442K
24 McMillan Office, Inc. 0.07% 1,055 $521K
25 NBC SECURITIES, INC. 0.06% 1,752 $865K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — MURPHY USA INC (MUSA)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MUSA?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added MUSA than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for MUSA?

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying: Last quarter: 257 funds reduced or exited vs 238 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for MUSA holders?

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds: 42 of 490 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in MUSA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held MUSA?

60% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 293 out of 490 hedge funds have held MUSA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.