Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Murphy USA Inc (MUSA)

537 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MUSA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Fetching live quote...
Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +15
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
49%

Smart Money Signals — MUSA

Based on 540 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MUSA than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
540 hedge funds hold MUSA right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +9% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+43 new funds entered over the past year (+9% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying

260 buying276 selling
Last quarter: 276 funds reduced or exited vs 260 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~96 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 81 → 67 → 101 → 96. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years

59% conviction (2yr+) 19% medium 21% new
321 out of 540 hedge funds have held MUSA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+19% value, -2% shares)

Value
+18%
Shares
-1%
Last quarter: total value of institutional MUSA holdings rose +19% even though funds reduced share count by 2%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

63 → 81 → 67 → 101 → 96 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 81 → 67 → 101 → 96. A growing number of institutions are discovering MUSA each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 65% veterans vs 23% newcomers

65% veterans 12% 1-2yr 23% new
Entry-cohort mix of 551 holders: 356 (65%) are 2+ year veterans, 67 entered 1–2 years ago, and 128 (23%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 42% AUM from top-100 funds

42% from top-100 AUM funds
52 of 536 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 42% of total institutional value in MUSA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — MUSA

In 2026 Q1, 260 hedge funds were net buyers of MUSA (96 opened a new position, 164 added to an existing one), while 276 reduced or exited (195 trimmed, 81 sold completely) — a 49% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 42% of total institutional value in MUSA is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +15 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 540.

Hedge Fund Ownership: MUSA

How many hedge funds hold MUSA — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MUSA vs. share price

Market Analysis: MUSA

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MUSA

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much MUSA has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 78d ago
MUSA
+18.2%
XLY
+8.9%

MUSA outperformed XLY by +9.3% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 33d ago
MUSA
+4.0%
XLY
+1.9%

Since the filing became public, MUSA outperformed XLY by +2.1% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

36 top-rated funds 4 high-conviction
Consensus
6.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MUSA
537 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MUSA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 537 525 2.29%
13F Shares 15M 16M -2.31%
Total Value $7.44B $6.33B 17.59%
New Positions 95 101 -6
Increased Positions 160 151 +9
Closed Positions 83 67 +16
Reduced Positions 188 198 -10
Total Calls 8 8 -
Total Puts 6 8 -25.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.75 1.0 Neutral

Statistics: MUSA

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

537 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MUSA. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 MUSA holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 RIHO Partners, LLC 13.23% 51,827 $20.9M
2 Southernsun Asset Management, LLC 6.07% 84,797 $41.9M
3 Horrell Capital Management, Inc. 5.03% 22,337 $11.0M
4 Recurrent Investment Advisors LLC 4.33% 146,119 $72.0M
5 Security National Bank 3.78% 52,593 $26.0M
6 IPG Investment Advisors LLC 2.80% 33,052 $16.3M
7 River Road Asset Management, LLC 2.22% 395,784 $195.5M
8 Argent Capital Management LLC 1.87% 120,234 $59.4M
9 VELA Investment Management, LLC 1.35% 11,932 $5.9M
10 Encompass Capital Advisors LLC 1.33% 90,000 $44.5M
11 Portolan Capital Management, LLC 1.26% 48,107 $23.8M
12 Evergreen Wealth Partners LLC 1.25% 3,303 $1.6M
13 Meixler Investment Management, Ltd. 1.24% 4,586 $2.3M
14 Huntington National Bank 1.13% 414,718 $204.9M
15 Leeward Investments, LLC - MA 0.97% 39,805 $19.7M
16 Blueshift Asset Management, LLC 0.83% 5,505 $2.7M
17 Millennium Capital Advisors, LLC 0.78% 2,549 $1.3M
18 Landscape Capital Management, L.L.C. 0.73% 23,348 $11.5M
19 Mustard Seed Financial, LLC 0.72% 2,437 $1.2M
20 Flavin Financial Services, Inc. 0.67% 2,003 $989K
21 Fieldview Capital Management, LLC 0.64% 4,454 $2.2M
22 Washington Capital Management, Inc 0.61% 1,460 $721K
23 Heartland Advisors Inc 0.61% 24,049 $11.9M
24 Fortune Financial Advisors, LLC 0.57% 2,279 $1.1M
25 Interval Partners, LP 0.56% 43,153 $21.3M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Murphy USA Inc (MUSA)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MUSA?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MUSA than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for MUSA?

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying: Last quarter: 276 funds reduced or exited vs 260 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for MUSA holders?

Elite ownership — 42% AUM from top-100 funds: 52 of 536 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 42% of total institutional value in MUSA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held MUSA?

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 321 out of 540 hedge funds have held MUSA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, MUSA has moved +4.0% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +1.9% for the XLY sector ETF — an outperformance of +2.1%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), MUSA has gained +18.2% vs +8.9% for XLY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →