Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Murphy Oil Corp (MUR)

445 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MUR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +38
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
54%

Smart Money Signals — MUR

Based on 446 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MUR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
446 hedge funds hold MUR right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +13% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+53 new funds entered over the past year (+13% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 54% buying

228 buying197 selling
Last quarter: 228 funds bought or added vs 197 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+22 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new MUR position: 46 → 57 → 62 → 84. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

65% of holders stayed for 2+ years

65% conviction (2yr+) 17% medium 18% new
290 out of 446 hedge funds have held MUR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+28% value, -1% shares)

Value
+28%
Shares
0%
Last quarter: total value of institutional MUR holdings rose +28% even though funds reduced share count by 1%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

71 → 46 → 57 → 62 → 84 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 46 → 57 → 62 → 84. A growing number of institutions are discovering MUR each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 70% of holders stayed 2+ years

70% veterans 9% 1-2yr 21% new
Of 465 current holders: 325 (70%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 51% AUM from top-100 funds

51% from top-100 AUM funds
55 of 446 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 51% of total institutional value in MUR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — MUR

In 2026 Q1, 228 hedge funds were net buyers of MUR (84 opened a new position, 144 added to an existing one), while 197 reduced or exited (151 trimmed, 46 sold completely) — a 54% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 3 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 51% of total institutional value in MUR is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +38 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 446.

Hedge Fund Ownership: MUR

How many hedge funds hold MUR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MUR vs. share price

Market Analysis: MUR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MUR

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Murphy Oil Corp (MUR) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much MUR has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLE) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 74d ago
MUR
-5.8%
XLE
-6.1%

MUR outperformed XLE by +0.3% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 29d ago
MUR
-3.6%
XLE
-3.2%

Since the filing became public, MUR outperformed XLE by -0.4% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

32 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
6.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MUR
445 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MUR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 445 408 9.07%
13F Shares 128M 129M -0.69%
Total Value $5.15B $4.02B 28.09%
New Positions 83 62 +21
Increased Positions 142 127 +15
Closed Positions 46 41 +5
Reduced Positions 145 151 -6
Total Calls 13 13 -
Total Puts 9 10 -10.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.69 0.77 Bullish

Statistics: MUR

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

445 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MUR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 MUR holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Flax Pond Capital, LLC 6.21% 187,256 $7.7M
2 Security National Bank 1.19% 197,834 $8.2M
3 CoreCommodity Management, LLC 1.02% 132,978 $5.5M
4 Grace & White Inc /Ny 1.01% 138,102 $5.7M
5 Pacific Heights Asset Management LLC 0.76% 550,000 $22.7M
6 SummerHaven Investment Management, LLC 0.76% 29,854 $1.2M
7 HITE Hedge Asset Management LLC 0.70% 301,690 $12.4M
8 Vaughan Nelson Investment Management, L.P. 0.66% 1,582,227 $65.3M
9 Campbell & CO Investment Adviser LLC 0.64% 273,227 $11.3M
10 Neo Ivy Capital Management 0.61% 56,215 $2.3M
11 Cambria Investment Management, L.P. 0.58% 252,827 $10.4M
12 Resolute Wealth Strategies, LLC 0.54% 30,131 $1.2M
13 Mustard Seed Financial, LLC 0.53% 21,448 $885K
14 Aristotle Atlantic Partners, LLC 0.50% 259,455 $10.7M
15 Earnest Partners LLC 0.50% 2,911,368 $120.1M
16 Old West Investment Management, LLC 0.45% 100,000 $4.1M
17 Pickering Energy Partners LP 0.44% 5,000 $206K
18 Lighthouse Investment Partners, LLC 0.41% 287,500 $11.9M
19 Huntington National Bank 0.40% 1,746,497 $72.0M
20 Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management LLC 0.35% 2,722,979 $112.3M
21 Commerce Advisors, LLC 0.35% 9,951 $410K
22 Tocqueville Asset Management L.P. 0.33% 546,813 $22.6M
23 MQS Management LLC 0.33% 11,950 $493K
24 Wedge Capital Management L L P/Nc 0.33% 427,674 $17.6M
25 Ceredex Value Advisors LLC 0.32% 248,850 $10.3M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Murphy Oil Corp (MUR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MUR?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MUR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for MUR?

Slight buying edge — 54% buying: Last quarter: 228 funds bought or added vs 197 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for MUR holders?

Elite ownership — 51% AUM from top-100 funds: 55 of 446 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 51% of total institutional value in MUR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held MUR?

65% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 290 out of 446 hedge funds have held MUR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Murphy Oil Corp (MUR) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, MUR has moved -3.6% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -3.2% for the XLE sector ETF — an outperformance of -0.4%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), MUR has gained -5.8% vs -6.1% for XLE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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