Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR)

397 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MUR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +21
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
50%

Smart Money Signals — MUR

Based on 381 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MUR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
📊

High ownership — 92% of 3.0Y peak

92% of all-time peak
381 funds currently hold this stock — 92% of the 3.0-year high of 416 funds (reached 2024 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding MUR is almost the same as a year ago (-6 funds, -2% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 50% buying

185 buying184 selling
Last quarter: 185 funds bought or added vs 184 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~59 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 65 → 45 → 54 → 59. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

66% of holders stayed for 2+ years

66% conviction (2yr+) 16% medium 18% new
253 out of 381 hedge funds have held MUR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~59 new funds/quarter

68 → 65 → 45 → 54 → 59 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 65 → 45 → 54 → 59. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 72% of holders stayed 2+ years

72% veterans 8% 1-2yr 21% new
Of 397 current holders: 284 (72%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 58% AUM from top-100 funds

58% from top-100 AUM funds
38 of 381 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 58% of total institutional value in MUR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.1
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.1/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: MUR

How many hedge funds hold MUR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MUR vs. share price

Market Analysis: MUR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MUR

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

50 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
7.4
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MUR
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 22 days 397 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MUR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 397 380 4.47%
13F Shares 128M 131M -2.49%
Total Value $3.99B $3.73B 7.2%
New Positions 59 55 +4
Increased Positions 143 122 +21
Closed Positions 41 46 -5
Reduced Positions 170 172 -2
Total Calls 13 15 -13.33%
Total Puts 10 13 -23.08%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.77 0.87 Neutral

Statistics: MUR

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Price/Book (mrq) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

397 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MUR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of MUR — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Security National Bank 1.19% 197,834 $8.2M
2 GRACE & WHITE INC /NY 1.01% 138,102 $5.7M
3 SummerHaven Investment Management, LLC 0.76% 29,854 $1.2M
4 VAUGHAN NELSON INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, L.P. 0.66% 1,582,227 $65.3M
5 Fruth Investment Management 0.62% 60,321 $2K
6 Mustard Seed Financial, LLC 0.53% 21,448 $885K
7 MQS Management LLC 0.33% 11,950 $493K
8 WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L L P/NC 0.33% 427,674 $17.6M
9 Simmons Bank 0.21% 76,474 $3.2M
10 Impact Capital Partners LLC 0.19% 15,122 $624K
11 MOODY NATIONAL BANK TRUST DIVISION 0.17% 42,212 $1.7M
12 Baron Wealth Management LLC 0.15% 12,118 $500K
13 CWA Asset Management Group, LLC 0.14% 99,601 $4.1M
14 Trust Investment Advisors 0.12% 5,014 $207K
15 OPPENHEIMER ASSET MANAGEMENT INC. 0.10% 215,233 $8.9M
16 NJ State Employees Deferred Compensation Plan 0.09% 27,600 $784K
17 JAMES INVESTMENT RESEARCH, INC. 0.08% 18,289 $754K
18 Monument Capital Management 0.08% 7,481 $309K
19 Paragon Capital Management Ltd 0.07% 8,383 $346K
20 Retirement Systems of Alabama 0.06% 466,691 $19.3M
21 FOSTER & MOTLEY INC 0.05% 22,822
22 Hilltop National Bank 0.04% 4,150 $171K
23 GAMMA Investing LLC 0.04% 20,845 $860K
24 U.S. Capital Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.03% 32,685 $1.3M
25 Rosenberg Matthew Hamilton 0.03% 4,000 $165K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MUR?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MUR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for MUR?

Slight buying edge — 50% buying: Last quarter: 185 funds bought or added vs 184 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for MUR holders?

Elite ownership — 58% AUM from top-100 funds: 38 of 381 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 58% of total institutional value in MUR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held MUR?

66% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 253 out of 381 hedge funds have held MUR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.