Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Vail Resorts Inc (MTN)

439 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MTN. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -19
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
53%

Smart Money Signals — MTN

Based on 440 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their MTN positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 90% of 3.0Y peak

90% of all-time peak
440 funds currently hold this stock — 90% of the 3.0-year high of 489 funds (reached 2023 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding MTN is almost the same as a year ago (-5 funds, -1% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 53% buying

250 buying221 selling
Last quarter: 250 funds bought or added vs 221 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-10 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 89 → 75 → 78 → 68. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 63% conviction (2yr+) ■ 21% medium ■ 16% new
277 out of 440 hedge funds have held MTN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~68 new funds/quarter

75 → 89 → 75 → 78 → 68 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 89 → 75 → 78 → 68. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 69% veterans vs 20% newcomers

■ 69% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 20% new
Entry-cohort mix of 454 holders: 313 (69%) are 2+ year veterans, 50 entered 1–2 years ago, and 91 (20%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds

44% from top-100 AUM funds
56 of 436 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in MTN. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
2.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — MTN

In 2026 Q1, 250 hedge funds were net buyers of MTN (68 opened a new position, 182 added to an existing one), while 221 reduced or exited (134 trimmed, 87 sold completely) — a 53% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net selling has persisted for two consecutive quarters. 44% of total institutional value in MTN is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -19 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 440.

Hedge Fund Ownership: MTN

How many hedge funds hold MTN — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MTN vs. share price

Market Analysis: MTN

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MTN

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much MTN has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 79d ago
MTN
+5.7%
XLY
+6.0%

MTN outperformed XLY by -0.3% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 34d ago
MTN
+11.5%
XLY
-0.9%

Since the filing became public, MTN outperformed XLY by +12.4% .

Interpretation: The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

35 top-rated funds 8 high-conviction
Consensus
6.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MTN
439 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MTN. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 439 459 -4.36%
13F Shares 47M 43M 9.05%
Total Value $5.97B $5.67B 5.23%
New Positions 67 78 -11
Increased Positions 174 132 +42
Closed Positions 87 85 +2
Reduced Positions 131 188 -57
Total Calls 11 9 22.22%
Total Puts 7 13 -46.15%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.64 1.44 Bullish

Statistics: MTN

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Beta (5Y Monthly) --
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Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

439 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MTN. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 MTN holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Oasis Management Co Ltd. 15.61% 2,088,396 $268.0M
2 Michelson Medical Research Foundation, Inc. 11.20% 86,000 $11.0M
3 Soapstone Management L.P. 7.31% 80,000 $10.3M
4 Kettle Hill Capital Management, LLC 6.64% 206,667 $26.5M
5 Perry Creek Capital LP 6.10% 76,246 $9.8M
6 Oasis Management Co Ltd. 5.98% 800,000 $102.7M
7 Orvieto Partners, L.P. 4.39% 40,000 $5.1M
8 Oakum Bay Capital LLC 3.72% 54,151 $6.9M
9 Iat Reinsurance Co LTD. 3.48% 84,000 $10.8M
10 Firetrail Investments Pty Ltd 2.98% 67,930 $8.7M
11 Caden Capital Partners, LP 2.81% 1,777 $228K
12 Kazazian Asset Management, LLC 2.80% 20,000 $2.6M
13 Eldred Rock Partners, LLC 2.67% 81,787 $10.5M
14 First Pacific Advisors, LP 2.11% 1,176,350 $150.9M
15 Eminence Capital, LP 2.10% 714,077 $91.6M
16 Bamco Inc /Ny/ 1.95% 5,043,533 $647.2M
17 Cramer Rosenthal Mcglynn LLC 1.91% 202,908 $26.0M
18 MAC Alpha Capital Management, LP 1.86% 24,900 $3.2M
19 Aperture Investors, LLC 1.83% 112,974 $14.5M
20 Midway Capital Research & Management 1.06% 8,750 $1.1M
21 California First Leasing Corp 0.97% 23,708 $3.0M
22 PYA Waltman Capital, LLC 0.96% 26,917 $3.5M
23 Longfellow Investment Management Co LLC 0.86% 32,000 $4.1M
24 Rice Hall James & Associates, LLC 0.83% 116,793 $15.0M
25 Clearline Capital LP 0.83% 124,502 $16.0M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Vail Resorts Inc (MTN)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MTN?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their MTN positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for MTN?

Slight buying edge — 53% buying: Last quarter: 250 funds bought or added vs 221 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for MTN holders?

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds: 56 of 436 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in MTN. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held MTN?

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 277 out of 440 hedge funds have held MTN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, MTN has moved +11.5% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -0.9% for the XLY sector ETF — an outperformance of +12.4%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), MTN has gained +5.7% vs +6.0% for XLY. The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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