Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Tidal Trust II (MSTY)

72 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MSTY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -17
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
37%

Smart Money Signals — MSTY

Based on 72 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their MSTY positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻

Below peak — only 43% of 3.0Y high

43% of all-time peak
Only 72 funds hold MSTY today versus a peak of 168 funds at 2025 Q3 — just 43% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding MSTY is almost the same as a year ago (-2 funds, -3% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🔴

Heavy selling pressure — only 37% buying

30 buying52 selling
Last quarter: 52 funds sold vs only 30 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~11 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 98 → 41 → 13 → 11. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 32% entered in last year

■ 7% conviction (2yr+) ■ 61% medium ■ 32% new
Only 5 funds (7%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -15%, value -38%

Value
-38%
Shares
-14%
Last quarter: funds added -15% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -38%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
⚠️

Saturation — most institutions already know this story

42 → 98 → 41 → 13 → 11 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 98 → 41 → 13 → 11. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🌱

Early stage — 63% of holders entered in last year

■ 3% veterans ■ 35% 1-2yr ■ 63% new
Of 78 current holders: 49 (63%) entered in the past year, only 2 (3%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
🏆

Elite ownership — 70% AUM from top-100 funds

70% from top-100 AUM funds
12 of 72 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 70% of total institutional value in MSTY. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
1.6
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 1.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — MSTY

In 2026 Q1, 30 hedge funds were net buyers of MSTY (11 opened a new position, 19 added to an existing one), while 52 reduced or exited (24 trimmed, 28 sold completely) — a 37% buyer ratio, indicating net institutional distribution. Net selling has persisted for two consecutive quarters. 70% of total institutional value in MSTY is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -17 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 72.

Hedge Fund Ownership: MSTY

How many hedge funds hold MSTY — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MSTY vs. share price

Market Analysis: MSTY

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MSTY

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Tidal Trust II (MSTY) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much MSTY has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 79d ago
MSTY
-25.7%
SPY
+13.9%

MSTY outperformed SPY by -39.6% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 34d ago
MSTY
-40.5%
SPY
+0.2%

Since the filing became public, MSTY outperformed SPY by -40.7% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

3 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
2.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.2
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MSTY
72 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MSTY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 72 89 -19.1%
13F Shares 3M 3M -14.55%
Total Value $61M $99M -38.47%
New Positions 11 13 -2
Increased Positions 17 6 +11
Closed Positions 28 92 -64
Reduced Positions 23 70 -47
Total Calls 3 4 -25.0%
Total Puts 3 4 -25.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 1.0 Neutral

Statistics: MSTY

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
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Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
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Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

72 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MSTY. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 MSTY holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Oasis Advisors, LLC 0.21% 13,495 $399K
2 Instrumental Wealth, LLC 0.19% 14,295 $304K
3 Maripau Wealth Management LLC 0.15% 15,521 $330K
4 Aspiring Ventures, LLC 0.13% 19,629 $418K
5 Strategic Advocates LLC 0.09% 904 $19K
6 Vision Financial Markets LLC 0.04% 1,828 $39K
7 Truvestments Capital LLC 0.03% 8,576 $183K
8 180 Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.03% 12,100 $258K
9 Tidal Investments LLC 0.02% 532,640 $11.3M
10 Signal Advisors Wealth, LLC 0.02% 15,850 $337K
11 Old Mission Capital LLC 0.01% 39,067 $832K
12 Cornerstone Planning Group LLC 0.01% 3,399 $93K
13 Dynamic Advisor Solutions LLC 0.01% 13,210 $281K
14 MidFirst Bank 0.00% 2,000 $43K
15 Merit Financial Group, LLC 0.00% 18,204 $388K
16 Renaissance Technologies LLC 0.00% 76,700 $1.6M
17 Sunbelt Securities, Inc. 0.00% 1,668 $36K
18 NFSG Corp 0.00% 618 $13K
19 Susquehanna International Group, LLP 0.00% 819,500 $17.4M
20 Group One Trading LLC 0.00% 35,597 $758K
21 CoreCap Advisors, LLC 0.00% 2,003 $43K
22 Versant Capital Management, Inc 0.00% 620 $13K
23 EFG International AG 0.00% 2,493 $53K
24 International Assets Investment Management, LLC 0.00% 752 $16K
25 AdvisorNet Financial, Inc 0.00% 971 $21K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Tidal Trust II (MSTY)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MSTY?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their MSTY positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for MSTY?

Heavy selling pressure — only 37% buying: Last quarter: 52 funds sold vs only 30 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.

What is the fund quality score for MSTY holders?

Elite ownership — 70% AUM from top-100 funds: 12 of 72 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 70% of total institutional value in MSTY. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held MSTY?

Mostly new holders — 32% entered in last year: Only 5 funds (7%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Is it too late to buy Tidal Trust II (MSTY) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, MSTY has moved -40.5% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +0.2% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of -40.7%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), MSTY has gained -25.7% vs +13.9% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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