Based on 54 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MSD than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
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At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
54 hedge funds hold MSD right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Fast accumulation — +42% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+16 new funds entered over the past year (+42% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
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More buyers than sellers — 68% buying
34 buying16 selling
Last quarter: 34 funds were net buyers (12 opened a brand new position + 22 added to an existing one). Only 16 were sellers (12 trimmed + 4 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
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Steady new buyers — ~12 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 9 → 5 → 9 → 12. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
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52% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 52% conviction (2yr+)
■ 28% medium
■ 20% new
28 out of 54 hedge funds have held MSD for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Growing discovery — still being found
6 → 9 → 5 → 9 → 12 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 9 → 5 → 9 → 12. A growing number of institutions are discovering MSD each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
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Deep conviction — 56% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 56% veterans
■ 19% 1-2yr
■ 26% new
Of 54 current holders: 30 (56%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
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Elite ownership — 40% AUM from top-100 funds
40% from top-100 AUM funds
11 of 54 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 40% of total institutional value in MSD. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 3.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.