Based on 11 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their MPU positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 69% of 3.0Y high
69% of all-time peak
Only 11 funds hold MPU today versus a peak of 16 funds at 2025 Q3 — just 69% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
📉
Outflows — 21% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
3 fewer hedge funds hold MPU compared to a year ago (-21% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 22% buying
4 buying14 selling
Last quarter: 14 funds sold vs only 4 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-8 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 2 → 3 → 10 → 2. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 64% entered in last year
■ 18% conviction (2yr+)
■ 18% medium
■ 64% new
Only 2 funds (18%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -21%, value -40%
Last quarter: funds added -21% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -40%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~2 new funds/quarter
14 → 2 → 3 → 10 → 2 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 2 → 3 → 10 → 2. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🌱
Early stage — 82% of holders entered in last year
■ 18% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 82% new
Of 11 current holders: 9 (82%) entered in the past year, only 2 (18%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
🏆
Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds
44% from top-100 AUM funds
2 of 11 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in MPU. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.5
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.5/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.