Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Marathon Pete Corp (MPC)

2K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MPC. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +229
Streak
5Q ▲
Buyers last Q
53%

Smart Money Signals — MPC

Based on 1885 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MPC than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
1,885 hedge funds hold MPC right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +24% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+359 new funds entered over the past year (+24% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 53% buying

934 buying816 selling
Last quarter: 934 funds bought or added vs 816 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+152 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new MPC position: 158 → 198 → 210 → 362. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

65% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 65% conviction (2yr+) ■ 16% medium ■ 19% new
1,217 out of 1,885 hedge funds have held MPC for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+43% value, -2% shares)

Value
+42%
Shares
-2%
Last quarter: total value of institutional MPC holdings rose +43% even though funds reduced share count by 2%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

153 → 158 → 198 → 210 → 362 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 158 → 198 → 210 → 362. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 70% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 70% veterans ■ 12% 1-2yr ■ 18% new
Of 1,937 current holders: 1,356 (70%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 45% AUM from top-100 funds

45% from top-100 AUM funds
62 of 1885 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 45% of total institutional value in MPC. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — MPC

In 2026 Q1, 934 hedge funds were net buyers of MPC (362 opened a new position, 572 added to an existing one), while 816 reduced or exited (683 trimmed, 133 sold completely) — a 53% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 5 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 45% of total institutional value in MPC is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +229 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 1885.

Hedge Fund Ownership: MPC

How many hedge funds hold MPC — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MPC vs. share price

Market Analysis: MPC

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MPC

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Marathon Pete Corp (MPC) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much MPC has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLE) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 74d ago
MPC
+7.9%
XLE
-6.1%

MPC outperformed XLE by +14.0% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 29d ago
MPC
+3.7%
XLE
-3.2%

Since the filing became public, MPC outperformed XLE by +6.9% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Strong Institutional Conviction

Multiple high-quality funds hold meaningful positions with strong conviction.

93 top-rated funds 25 high-conviction
Consensus
8.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
6.2
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MPC
2K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MPC. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 1870 1656 12.92%
13F Shares 222M 227M -2.27%
Total Value $52.12B $36.57B 42.51%
New Positions 356 210 +146
Increased Positions 561 551 +10
Closed Positions 142 179 -37
Reduced Positions 662 576 +86
Total Calls 31 30 3.33%
Total Puts 29 27 7.41%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.94 0.9 Neutral

Statistics: MPC

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

2K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MPC. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 MPC holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Berry Wealth Group, LP 11.15% 12,220 $3.0M
2 Praetorian PR LLC 8.44% 95,000 $23.2M
3 Mcintyre Freedman & Flynn Investment Advisers Inc 6.63% 47,901 $11.7M
4 Arrow Capital Pty Ltd 4.90% 20,000 $4.9M
5 Greatmark Investment Partners, INC. 4.77% 166,698 $40.7M
6 Sitrin Capital Management LLC 4.56% 37,225 $9.1M
7 Refined Wealth Management 3.85% 24,991 $6.1M
8 DCM Advisors, LLC 3.69% 33,227 $8.1M
9 Summit Street Capital Management, LLC 3.63% 105,145 $25.7M
10 Turn8 Private Wealth Inc. 3.56% 23,314 $5.7M
11 Kennondale Capital Management LLC 3.47% 19,718 $4.8M
12 Cherokee Insurance Co 3.43% 37,058 $9.0M
13 CrossGen Wealth, LLC 3.42% 15,929 $3.9M
14 O'Domhnaill Enterprises, Inc. 3.30% 16,757 $4.1M
15 Empyrean Capital Partners, LP 3.17% 398,100 $97.2M
16 swisspartners Advisors Ltd 3.11% 20,410 $5.0M
17 Polaris Capital Management, LLC 3.11% 155,832 $38.1M
18 Runnymede Capital Advisors, Inc. 2.97% 14,173 $3.5M
19 North Point Portfolio Managers Corp/Oh 2.77% 63,596 $15.5M
20 Recurrent Investment Advisors LLC 2.66% 180,958 $44.2M
21 Geneva Partners, LLC 2.61% 22,218 $5.4M
22 Adams Natural Resources Fund, INC. 2.41% 85,012 $20.8M
23 Demars Financial Group, LLC 2.37% 29,422 $7.2M
24 Hudson Canyon Capital Management 2.36% 15,786 $3.9M
25 Kirr Marbach & Co LLC /In/ 2.22% 49,984 $12.2M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Marathon Pete Corp (MPC)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MPC?

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row: For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MPC than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for MPC?

Slight buying edge — 53% buying: Last quarter: 934 funds bought or added vs 816 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for MPC holders?

Elite ownership — 45% AUM from top-100 funds: 62 of 1885 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 45% of total institutional value in MPC. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held MPC?

65% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,217 out of 1,885 hedge funds have held MPC for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Marathon Pete Corp (MPC) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, MPC has moved +3.7% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -3.2% for the XLE sector ETF — an outperformance of +6.9%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), MPC has gained +7.9% vs -6.1% for XLE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →