Based on 15 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed this position than added to it. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 48% of 1.2Y high
48% of all-time peak
Only 15 funds hold this stock today versus a peak of 31 funds at 2025 Q1 — just 48% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
📉
Outflows — 48% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 5Q
14 fewer hedge funds hold this stock compared to a year ago (-48% decline). When institutions consistently reduce exposure, it's worth asking what they know that retail investors don't.
🟡
Slight buying edge — 50% buying
8 buying8 selling
Last quarter: 8 funds bought or added vs 8 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~4 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 10 → 4 → 3 → 4. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 27% entered in last year
■ 0% conviction (2yr+)
■ 73% medium
■ 27% new
Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
10 → 4 → 3 → 4 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 10 → 4 → 3 → 4. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🌱
Early stage — 100% of holders entered in last year
■ 0% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 100% new
Of 15 current holders: 15 (100%) entered in the past year, only 0 (0%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
✅
Strong quality — 20% from major AUM funds
20% from top-100 AUM funds
3 of 15 current holders rank in the top 100 by AUM. A meaningful share of the ownership base comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 1.1/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.