Based on 109 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their MJ positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (96% of max)
96% of all-time peak
109 hedge funds hold MJ right now — the highest count in 1.5 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +10800% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+108 new funds entered over the past year (+10800% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks. The peak was reached in just 2 quarters from the low — a sharp move.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 47% buying
44 buying49 selling
Last quarter: 49 funds reduced or exited vs 44 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~25 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 113 → 16 → 25 → 25. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 36% entered in last year
■ 1% conviction (2yr+)
■ 63% medium
■ 36% new
Only 1 funds (1%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -9%, value -26%
Last quarter: funds added -9% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -26%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊
Peak discovery — momentum slowing
1 → 113 → 16 → 25 → 25 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 113 → 16 → 25 → 25. MJ is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🌱
Early stage — 99% of holders entered in last year
■ 1% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 99% new
Of 114 current holders: 113 (99%) entered in the past year, only 1 (1%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 11% AUM from top-100
11% from top-100 AUM funds
9 of 109 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 11% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.8
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.8/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.