Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Mfa Finl Inc (MFA)

217 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MFA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +11
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
57%

Smart Money Signals — MFA

Based on 219 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MFA than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
219 hedge funds hold MFA right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +16% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+30 new funds entered over the past year (+16% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 57% buying

117 buying89 selling
Last quarter: 117 funds bought or added vs 89 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+6 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new MFA position: 27 → 39 → 36 → 42. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 62% conviction (2yr+) ■ 18% medium ■ 20% new
135 out of 219 hedge funds have held MFA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

33 → 27 → 39 → 36 → 42 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 27 → 39 → 36 → 42. A growing number of institutions are discovering MFA each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 69% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 69% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 21% new
Of 227 current holders: 157 (69%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅

Strong quality — 35% AUM from major funds

35% from top-100 AUM funds
42 of 219 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 35% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — MFA

In 2026 Q1, 117 hedge funds were net buyers of MFA (42 opened a new position, 75 added to an existing one), while 89 reduced or exited (58 trimmed, 31 sold completely) — a 57% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 3 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 35% of total institutional value in MFA is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +11 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 219.

Hedge Fund Ownership: MFA

How many hedge funds hold MFA — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MFA vs. share price

Market Analysis: MFA

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MFA

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Mfa Finl Inc (MFA) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much MFA has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLRE) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 75d ago
MFA
-1.7%
XLRE
+11.1%

MFA outperformed XLRE by -12.8% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 30d ago
MFA
+1.2%
XLRE
+4.9%

Since the filing became public, MFA outperformed XLRE by -3.7% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

22 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
5.9
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MFA
217 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MFA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 217 208 4.33%
13F Shares 52M 54M -3.73%
Total Value $474M $502M -5.55%
New Positions 40 36 +4
Increased Positions 72 74 -2
Closed Positions 31 32 -1
Reduced Positions 57 66 -9
Total Calls 4 4 -
Total Puts 5 6 -16.67%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.25 1.5 Bearish

Statistics: MFA

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

217 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MFA. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 MFA holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 EMG Holdings, L.P. 1.54% 638,478 $6.1M
2 Mariner Investment Group LLC 0.58% 210,000 $2.0M
3 Miller Global Investments, LLC 0.40% 45,621 $437K
4 Almitas Capital LLC 0.28% 128,086 $1.2M
5 Capital Square, LLC 0.20% 42,295 $432K
6 Wolverine Asset Management LLC 0.14% 1,533,286 $14.7M
7 EntryPoint Capital, LLC 0.10% 35,266 $338K
8 America First Investment Advisors, LLC 0.07% 39,725 $381K
9 Henshaw Capital LLC 0.06% 58,278 $424K
10 AlphaQuest LLC 0.05% 97,524 $908K
11 Virtus Advisers, LLC 0.05% 11,085 $106K
12 Inspire Investing, LLC 0.04% 53,907 $516K
13 Caxton Associates LLP 0.04% 169,638 $1.6M
14 Engineers Gate Manager LP 0.03% 287,371 $2.8M
15 Nebula Research & Development LLC 0.03% 39,227 $371K
16 Simplify Asset Management Inc. 0.03% 209,000 $2.0M
17 Fox Run Management, L.L.C. 0.03% 17,297 $167K
18 MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. 0.03% 2,114,463 $20.3M
19 Independent Advisor Alliance 0.02% 236,410 $2.3M
20 Centiva Capital, LP 0.02% 254,400 $2.4M
21 Essential Partners LLC 0.01% 4,454 $43K
22 Verition Fund Management LLC 0.01% 230,916 $2.2M
23 Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd 0.01% 71,717 $687K
24 Picton Mahoney Asset Management 0.01% 183,285 $1.8M
25 Curi Capital, LLC 0.01% 73,811 $707K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Mfa Finl Inc (MFA)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MFA?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MFA than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for MFA?

Slight buying edge — 57% buying: Last quarter: 117 funds bought or added vs 89 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for MFA holders?

Strong quality — 35% AUM from major funds: 42 of 219 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 35% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held MFA?

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 135 out of 219 hedge funds have held MFA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Mfa Finl Inc (MFA) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, MFA has moved +1.2% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.9% for the XLRE sector ETF — an outperformance of -3.7%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), MFA has gained -1.7% vs +11.1% for XLRE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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