Based on 20 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their MDCX positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (95% of max)
95% of all-time peak
20 hedge funds hold MDCX right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +233% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+14 new funds entered over the past year (+233% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡
Slight buying edge — 54% buying
13 buying11 selling
Last quarter: 13 funds bought or added vs 11 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~7 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 16 → 9 → 7 → 7. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 55% entered in last year
■ 0% conviction (2yr+)
■ 45% medium
■ 55% new
Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💰
Price up while funds trimmed (+7% value, -41% shares)
Last quarter: total value of institutional MDCX holdings rose +7% even though funds reduced share count by 41%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
4 → 16 → 9 → 7 → 7 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 16 → 9 → 7 → 7. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🌱
Early stage — 95% of holders entered in last year
■ 0% veterans
■ 5% 1-2yr
■ 95% new
Of 20 current holders: 19 (95%) entered in the past year, only 0 (0%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 1% AUM from top-100
1% from top-100 AUM funds
6 of 20 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 1% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.9
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.9/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.