Based on 6 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their MBSX positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 67% of 1.2Y high
67% of all-time peak
Only 6 funds hold MBSX today versus a peak of 9 funds at 2025 Q4 — just 67% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
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Outflows — 14% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 5Q
1 fewer hedge funds hold MBSX compared to a year ago (-14% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 62% buying
5 buying3 selling
Last quarter: 5 funds were net buyers (1 opened a brand new position + 4 added to an existing one). Only 3 were sellers (1 trimmed + 2 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~1 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 1 → 4 → 1 → 1. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 17% entered in last year
■ 0% conviction (2yr+)
■ 83% medium
■ 17% new
Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
1 → 4 → 1 → 1 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 1 → 4 → 1 → 1. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🌱
Early stage — 100% of holders entered in last year
■ 0% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 100% new
Of 6 current holders: 6 (100%) entered in the past year, only 0 (0%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 3% AUM from top-100
3% from top-100 AUM funds
1 of 6 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 3% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
Exit risk score 1.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.