Based on 282 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their MBLY positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (98% of max)
98% of all-time peak
282 hedge funds hold MBLY right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶
Steady growth — +13% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+32 new funds entered over the past year (+13% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 47% buying
158 buying178 selling
Last quarter: 178 funds reduced or exited vs 158 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-14 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 46 → 59 → 75 → 61. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒
46% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 46% conviction (2yr+)
■ 27% medium
■ 27% new
130 out of 282 hedge funds have held MBLY for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -7%, value -29%
Last quarter: funds added -7% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -29%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈
Growing discovery — still being found
70 → 46 → 59 → 75 → 61 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 46 → 59 → 75 → 61. A growing number of institutions are discovering MBLY each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 60% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 60% veterans
■ 15% 1-2yr
■ 26% new
Of 312 current holders: 186 (60%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 18% AUM from top-100
18% from top-100 AUM funds
34 of 282 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 18% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.