Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Mbia Inc (MBI)

125 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MBI. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -2
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
57%

Smart Money Signals — MBI

Based on 128 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their MBI positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (98% of max)

98% of all-time peak
128 hedge funds hold MBI right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +17% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+19 new funds entered over the past year (+17% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 57% buying

72 buying55 selling
Last quarter: 72 funds bought or added vs 55 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-13 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 24 → 17 → 32 → 19. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 62% conviction (2yr+) ■ 15% medium ■ 23% new
80 out of 128 hedge funds have held MBI for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

8 → 24 → 17 → 32 → 19 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 24 → 17 → 32 → 19. A growing number of institutions are discovering MBI each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 66% veterans vs 24% newcomers

■ 66% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 24% new
Entry-cohort mix of 135 holders: 89 (66%) are 2+ year veterans, 14 entered 1–2 years ago, and 32 (24%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 38% AUM from major funds

38% from top-100 AUM funds
35 of 127 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 38% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — MBI

In 2026 Q2, 72 hedge funds were net buyers of MBI (19 opened a new position, 53 added to an existing one), while 55 reduced or exited (34 trimmed, 21 sold completely) — a 57% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 38% of total institutional value in MBI is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -2 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 128.

Hedge Fund Ownership: MBI

How many hedge funds hold MBI — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MBI vs. share price

Market Analysis: MBI

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MBI

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

7 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
3.9
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MBI
125 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MBI. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 125 130 -3.85%
13F Shares 27M 27M 0.13%
Total Value $170M $156M 8.86%
New Positions 19 32 -13
Increased Positions 48 39 +9
Closed Positions 23 19 +4
Reduced Positions 34 37 -3
Total Calls 4 3 33.33%
Total Puts 4 5 -20.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 1.67 Neutral

Statistics: MBI

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

125 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MBI. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 MBI holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Valueworks LLC 2.68% 1,967,228 $12.8M
2 Kahn Brothers Group Inc 2.15% 2,056,434 $12.2M
3 Wolf Hill Capital Management, LP 1.15% 2,118,014 $13.8M
4 Chou Associates Management Inc. 0.97% 321,000 $2.1M
5 Hosking Partners LLP 0.34% 1,549,265 $10.1M
6 Alta Fundamental Advisers LLC 0.29% 148,662 $969K
7 Bluefin Capital Management, LLC 0.19% 115,006 $750K
8 Unifi Asset Management LP 0.18% 37,773 $270K
9 Seelaus Asset Management LLC 0.11% 24,500 $160K
10 46 Peaks LLC 0.08% 19,398 $126K
11 Empirical Asset Management, LLC 0.06% 42,300 $276K
12 Steinberganna Wealth Management 0.05% 18,000 $117K
13 Tcw Group Inc 0.05% 1,065,260 $6.9M
14 Lanark Financial, INC. 0.03% 77,197 $503K
15 Whitebox Advisors LLC 0.03% 304,461 $2.0M
16 Freestone Capital Holdings, LLC 0.02% 99,763 $650K
17 Dynamic Technology Lab Private Ltd 0.02% 11,005 $72K
18 Bridgeway Capital Management, LLC 0.01% 81,700 $533K
19 Cerity Partners LLC 0.01% 1,087,425 $7.1M
20 Renaissance Technologies LLC 0.00% 310,892 $2.0M
21 Tudor Investment Corp Et Al 0.00% 298,409 $1.9M
22 Russell Investments Group, Ltd. 0.00% 459,085 $3.0M
23 Trexquant Investment LP 0.00% 66,458 $433K
24 Citizens Financial Group Inc/Ri 0.00% 31,588 $206K
25 Engineers Gate Manager LP 0.00% 24,866 $162K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Mbia Inc (MBI)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MBI?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their MBI positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for MBI?

Slight buying edge — 57% buying: Last quarter: 72 funds bought or added vs 55 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for MBI holders?

Strong quality — 38% AUM from major funds: 35 of 127 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 38% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held MBI?

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 80 out of 128 hedge funds have held MBI for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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