Mbia Inc (MBI): Hedge Fund Ownership & Smart Money Signals (Q1 2026)

Q: Is it too late to buy Mbia Inc (MBI) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, MBI has moved +4.3% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +5.8% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of -1.5%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), MBI gained +3.4% vs +9.5% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Mbia Inc (MBI)

128 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MBI. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Smart Money Signals — MBI

Based on 129 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q

For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added MBI than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak

129 hedge funds hold MBI right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.

📶

Steady growth — +8% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q

+10 new funds entered over the past year (+8% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.

🟡

Slight buying edge — 56% buying

73 buying58 selling

Last quarter: 73 funds bought or added vs 58 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

📈

More new buyers each quarter (+15 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter

Funds opening a new MBI position: 8 → 24 → 17 → 32. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.

🔒

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 61% conviction (2yr+) ■ 16% medium ■ 23% new

79 out of 129 hedge funds have held MBI for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +9%, value -9%

Value

-9%

+9%

Last quarter: funds added +9% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -9%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.

🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

16 → 8 → 24 → 17 → 32 new funds/Q

New funds entering each quarter: 8 → 24 → 17 → 32. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.

🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 69% veterans vs 23% newcomers

■ 69% veterans ■ 9% 1-2yr ■ 23% new

Entry-cohort mix of 137 holders: 94 (69%) are 2+ year veterans, 12 entered 1–2 years ago, and 31 (23%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.

✅

Strong quality — 23% AUM from major funds

23% from top-100 AUM funds

31 of 129 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 23% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

3.7

out of 10

Low Exit Risk

Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Metric	All 13F Filers (2026 Q1)	Prior (2025 Q4)	Change
Funds Holding	128	117	9.4%
13F Shares	27M	24M	9.18%
Total Value	$156M	$172M	-9.14%
New Positions	31	17	+14
Increased Positions	39	37	+2
Closed Positions	20	18	+2
Reduced Positions	37	37	-
Total Calls	3	4	-25.0%
Total Puts	5	2	150.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio	1.67	0.5	Bearish

Metric

All 13F Filers (2026 Q1)

Prior (2025 Q4)

Change

Funds Holding

128

117

9.4%

13F Shares

27M

24M

9.18%

Total Value

$156M

$172M

-9.14%

New Positions

+14

Increased Positions

Closed Positions

Reduced Positions

Total Calls

-25.0%

Total Puts

150.0%

PUT/CALL Ratio

1.67

0.5

Bearish

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

128 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MBI. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:

FILTER:All New Added To Reduced No Change | Overweight >5%

Top 25 MBI holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
#	Investor	% of Portfolio	Shares	Mkt Value
1	Valueworks LLC	3.11%	1,931,890	$11.4M
2	Kahn Brothers Group Inc	2.15%	2,056,434	$12.2M
3	Wolf Hill Capital Management, LP	1.46%	2,545,543	$15.0M
4	Chou Associates Management Inc.	0.90%	321,000	$1.9M
5	Hosking Partners LLP	0.34%	1,584,913	$9.4M
6	Alta Fundamental Advisers LLC	0.33%	148,662	$879K
7	Bluefin Capital Management, LLC	0.12%	68,789	$493K
8	Seelaus Asset Management LLC	0.10%	24,500	$145K
9	Tcw Group Inc	0.05%	1,038,460	$6.1M
10	Steinberganna Wealth Management	0.05%	16,100	$95K
11	EverSource Wealth Advisors, LLC	0.04%	66,075	$1.2M
12	Frec Markets, Inc.	0.03%	34,722	$205K
13	Nbc Securities, INC.	0.03%	77,197	$456K
14	Whitebox Advisors LLC	0.02%	304,461	$1.8M
15	Freestone Capital Holdings, LLC	0.02%	99,763	$590K
16	State of Wyoming	0.01%	21,367	$126K
17	Mirabella Financial Services LLP	0.01%	26,437	$156K
18	Fox Run Management, L.L.C.	0.01%	13,020	$74K
19	XTX Topco Ltd	0.01%	119,770	$708K
20	Bridgeway Capital Management, LLC	0.01%	74,500	$440K
21	Two Sigma Securities, LLC	0.01%	10,697	$63K
22	Tudor Investment Corp Et Al	0.00%	349,005	$2.1M
23	Renaissance Technologies LLC	0.00%	409,892	$2.4M
24	Cerity Partners LLC	0.00%	432,216	$2.6M
25	J. Goldman & Co LP	0.00%	20,000	$118K

Investor	Ownership History	% of Portfolio	Prev %	Rank	Conviction	Avg Buy Price	13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y	Sell Timing	Shares	Mkt Value	Change	Change %	Source	Quarter	Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Mbia Inc (MBI)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MBI?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added MBI than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for MBI?

Slight buying edge — 56% buying: Last quarter: 73 funds bought or added vs 58 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for MBI holders?

Strong quality — 23% AUM from major funds: 31 of 129 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 23% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held MBI?

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 79 out of 129 hedge funds have held MBI for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Mbia Inc (MBI) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, MBI has moved +4.3% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +5.8% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of -1.5%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), MBI has gained +3.4% vs +9.5% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

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Mbia Inc (MBI)

Smart Money Signals — MBI

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

Steady growth — +8% more funds vs a year ago

Slight buying edge — 56% buying

More new buyers each quarter (+15 vs last Q)

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years

Buying through price weakness — shares +9%, value -9%

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

Veteran-anchored — 69% veterans vs 23% newcomers

Strong quality — 23% AUM from major funds

Institutional Sentiment Summary — MBI

Hedge Fund Ownership: MBI

Market Analysis: MBI

Analyst Price Targets

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Company Profile: MBI

Is It Too Late to Buy Mbia Inc (MBI) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Hedge Fund Positioning: MBI

Statistics: MBI

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Financial Highlights

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

Frequently Asked Questions — Mbia Inc (MBI)

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