Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

MIDDLEFIELD BANC CORP (MBCN)

85 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MBCN. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Fetching live quote...
Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +14
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
69%

Smart Money Signals — MBCN

Based on 85 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MBCN than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
85 hedge funds hold MBCN right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +39% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+24 new funds entered over the past year (+39% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 69% buying

47 buying21 selling
Last quarter: 47 funds were net buyers (16 opened a brand new position + 31 added to an existing one). Only 21 were sellers (19 trimmed + 2 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+8 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new MBCN position: 8 → 5 → 8 → 16. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years

54% conviction (2yr+) 22% medium 24% new
46 out of 85 hedge funds have held MBCN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

4 → 8 → 5 → 8 → 16 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 8 → 5 → 8 → 16. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 59% of holders stayed 2+ years

59% veterans 13% 1-2yr 28% new
Of 85 current holders: 50 (59%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds

49% from top-100 AUM funds
24 of 85 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in MBCN. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: MBCN

How many hedge funds hold MBCN — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MBCN vs. share price

Market Analysis: MBCN

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MBCN

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

21 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
5.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MBCN
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 18 days 85 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MBCN. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 85 71 19.72%
13F Shares 2M 3M -14.98%
Total Value $81M $83M -2.16%
New Positions 16 8 +8
Increased Positions 31 23 +8
Closed Positions 2 4 -2
Reduced Positions 19 22 -3
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: MBCN

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

85 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MBCN. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 1 institutional holders of MBCN — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 IFP Advisors, Inc 0.00% 2
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — MIDDLEFIELD BANC CORP (MBCN)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MBCN?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MBCN than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for MBCN?

More buyers than sellers — 69% buying: Last quarter: 47 funds were net buyers (16 opened a brand new position + 31 added to an existing one). Only 21 were sellers (19 trimmed + 2 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for MBCN holders?

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds: 24 of 85 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in MBCN. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held MBCN?

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 46 out of 85 hedge funds have held MBCN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.