Based on 3 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Selling streak — 5 quarters in a row
For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed this position than added to it. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 12% of 1.5Y high
12% of all-time peak
Only 3 funds hold this stock today versus a peak of 24 funds at 2024 Q3 — just 12% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
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Outflows — 70% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
7 fewer hedge funds hold this stock compared to a year ago (-70% decline). When institutions consistently reduce exposure, it's worth asking what they know that retail investors don't.
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Heavy selling pressure — only 33% buying
1 buying2 selling
Last quarter: 2 funds sold vs only 1 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~0 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 1 → 0 → 0 → 0. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
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Mostly new holders — 0% entered in last year
■ 0% conviction (2yr+)
■ 100% medium
■ 0% new
Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
2 → 1 → 0 → 0 → 0 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 1 → 0 → 0 → 0. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
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Mixed cohorts — 0% veterans, 33% new entrants
■ 0% veterans
■ 67% 1-2yr
■ 33% new
Of 3 current holders: 0 (0%) held 2+ years, 2 held 1–2 years, 1 (33%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
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Elite ownership — 67% from top-100 AUM funds
67% from top-100 AUM funds
2 of 3 current holders are among the 100 largest hedge funds by AUM. When the biggest players own a stock, it reflects deep institutional conviction — large funds have the most resources for due diligence and the most at stake.
Exit risk score 1.0/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.