Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Blackrock ETF Trust (LCTU)

192 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in LCTU. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -3
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
38%

Smart Money Signals — LCTU

Based on 193 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their LCTU positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (98% of max)

98% of all-time peak
193 hedge funds hold LCTU right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +9% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+16 new funds entered over the past year (+9% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🔴

Heavy selling pressure — only 38% buying

73 buying120 selling
Last quarter: 120 funds sold vs only 73 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-17 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 17 → 13 → 37 → 20. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

46% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 46% conviction (2yr+) ■ 34% medium ■ 20% new
88 out of 193 hedge funds have held LCTU for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

18 → 17 → 13 → 37 → 20 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 17 → 13 → 37 → 20. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 45% veterans vs 24% newcomers

■ 45% veterans ■ 32% 1-2yr ■ 24% new
Entry-cohort mix of 193 holders: 86 (45%) are 2+ year veterans, 61 entered 1–2 years ago, and 46 (24%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 39% AUM from major funds

39% from top-100 AUM funds
13 of 193 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 39% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.2
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.2/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — LCTU

In 2026 Q1, 73 hedge funds were net buyers of LCTU (20 opened a new position, 53 added to an existing one), while 120 reduced or exited (97 trimmed, 23 sold completely) — a 38% buyer ratio, indicating net institutional distribution. 39% of total institutional value in LCTU is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -3 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 193.

Hedge Fund Ownership: LCTU

How many hedge funds hold LCTU — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of LCTU vs. share price

Market Analysis: LCTU

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: LCTU

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Blackrock ETF Trust (LCTU) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much LCTU has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 85d ago
LCTU
+12.1%
SPY
+14.9%

LCTU outperformed SPY by -2.8% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 40d ago
LCTU
+0.2%
SPY
+1.1%

Since the filing became public, LCTU outperformed SPY by -0.9% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

5 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
3.4
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.5
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: LCTU
192 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in LCTU. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 192 196 -2.04%
13F Shares 16M 18M -10.03%
Total Value $1.06B $1.29B -18.07%
New Positions 19 37 -18
Increased Positions 53 63 -10
Closed Positions 23 11 +12
Reduced Positions 97 74 +23
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: LCTU

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

192 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in LCTU. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 LCTU holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Avise Financial Cooperative, Inc. 6.55% 112,896 $7.9M
2 Davis Wealth Advisors, LLC 2.59% 44,410 $3.1M
3 Archer Investment Management, LLC 2.43% 82,480 $5.8M
4 Varma Mutual Pension Insurance Co 1.99% 4,814,000 $337.6M
5 One Wealth Advisors, LLC 1.15% 132,206 $9.3M
6 Contango Wealth Management LLC 0.76% 9,257 $649K
7 Asempa Wealth Advisors 0.70% 11,411 $807K
8 Oregon Pacific Wealth Management, LLC 0.68% 9,306 $653K
9 Horst & Graben Wealth Management LLC 0.68% 64,578 $4.9M
10 J. Mark Nickell & Co. 0.60% 8,215 $576K
11 RCS Financial Planning, LLC 0.59% 16,333 $1.1M
12 Sharkey, Howes & Javer 0.54% 56,947 $4.0M
13 One Wealth Capital Management, LLC 0.54% 16,086 $1.2M
14 Brendel Financial Advisors LLC 0.45% 13,056 $916K
15 Skyline Advisors, Inc. 0.44% 17,960 $1.3M
16 Wealthgarden F.S. LLC 0.43% 9,077 $637K
17 LifePlan Investment Advisors, Inc. 0.42% 15,153 $1.1M
18 Sofi Wealth, LLC 0.41% 121,482 $8.5M
19 Talisman Wealth Advisors LLC 0.35% 6,190 $434K
20 MA Private Wealth 0.35% 29,124 $2.0M
21 Envestnet Portfolio Solutions, Inc. 0.33% 843,617 $59.2M
22 Keystone Financial Services 0.32% 15,650 $1.1M
23 Theory Financial LLC 0.32% 13,078 $917K
24 Spectrum Planning & Advisory Services Inc. 0.29% 8,413 $590K
25 Urban Wealth Management, LLC 0.28% 3,959 $278K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Blackrock ETF Trust (LCTU)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for LCTU?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their LCTU positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for LCTU?

Heavy selling pressure — only 38% buying: Last quarter: 120 funds sold vs only 73 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.

What is the fund quality score for LCTU holders?

Strong quality — 39% AUM from major funds: 13 of 193 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 39% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held LCTU?

46% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 88 out of 193 hedge funds have held LCTU for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Blackrock ETF Trust (LCTU) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, LCTU has moved +0.2% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +1.1% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of -0.9%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), LCTU has gained +12.1% vs +14.9% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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